Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 59%
$2.9K
$303.12
Smart Money Signal
10 of 18 top traders (56%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 96.2¢ | $1.7K | $1.8K | +$66.49 | 59% 62257-43437 (105694) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 75.1¢ | $604.13 | $547.81 | -$56.31 | 51% 7617-7193 (14810) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 27.8¢ | $86.4 | $311.2 | +$224.8 | 57% 70922-54007 (124929) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 37.4¢ | $68.08 | $182.1 | +$114.02 | 58% 37856-27105 (64961) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 54.8¢ | $38.29 | $35.48 | -$2.81 | 63% 51950-30621 (82571) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80.1¢ | $38.2 | $43.11 | +$4.91 | 66% 125851-64777 (190628) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 68.2¢ | $34.15 | — | -$34.15 | 55% 17817-14432 (32249) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $32 | — | -$32 | 64% 23273-12819 (36092) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.9¢ | $9.67 | — | -$9.67 | 61% 94946-59871 (154817) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.8¢ | $5.39 | — | -$5.39 | 52% 90356-84870 (175226) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $11.13 | — | -$11.13 | 58% 60561-44221 (104782) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $6.82 | $14.51 | +$7.69 | 46% 7951-9381 (17332) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 12.4¢ | $4.12 | $33.12 | +$29 | 55% 44953-37390 (82343) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $5.3 | $17.09 | +$11.79 | 66% 112191-58626 (170817) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $4.6 | — | -$4.6 | 49% 77987-81500 (159487) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $4.76 | $5.35 | +$0.59 | 64% 40124-22950 (63074) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $0.11 | — | -$0.1 | 74% 102547-36416 (138963) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20087-19234 (39321) |
Invested
$1,690.06
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$66.49
Record
59%
62257-43437 (105694)
Invested
$604.13
Value
$547.81
PnL
-$56.31
Record
51%
7617-7193 (14810)
Invested
$86.4
Value
$311.2
PnL
+$224.8
Record
57%
70922-54007 (124929)
Invested
$68.08
Value
$182.1
PnL
+$114.02
Record
58%
37856-27105 (64961)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$38.29
Value
$35.48
PnL
-$2.81
Record
63%
51950-30621 (82571)
Invested
$38.2
Value
$43.11
PnL
+$4.91
Record
66%
125851-64777 (190628)
Invested
$34.15
Value
—
PnL
-$34.15
Record
55%
17817-14432 (32249)
Invested
$32
Value
—
PnL
-$32
Record
64%
23273-12819 (36092)
Invested
$9.67
Value
—
PnL
-$9.67
Record
61%
94946-59871 (154817)
Invested
$5.39
Value
—
PnL
-$5.39
Record
52%
90356-84870 (175226)
Invested
$11.13
Value
—
PnL
-$11.13
Record
58%
60561-44221 (104782)
Invested
$6.82
Value
$14.51
PnL
+$7.69
Record
46%
7951-9381 (17332)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.12
Value
$33.12
PnL
+$29
Record
55%
44953-37390 (82343)
Invested
$5.3
Value
$17.09
PnL
+$11.79
Record
66%
112191-58626 (170817)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$4.6
Value
—
PnL
-$4.6
Record
49%
77987-81500 (159487)
ohioism<$100Invested
$4.76
Value
$5.35
PnL
+$0.59
Record
64%
40124-22950 (63074)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$0.11
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
74%
102547-36416 (138963)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20087-19234 (39321)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $1.8K
ply-pm2
Down — $547.81
uninformedfloww
Down — $311.2
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $182.1
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $35.48
asdaefef
Down — $43.11
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
asidjasiodja
CTRUp — $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp — $0