Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 83%
$344.68
$4.36
Smart Money Signal
10 of 12 top traders (83%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $145.53 | $147 | +$1.47 | 93% 23498-1772 (25270) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $46.92 | $40 | -$6.92 | 51% 7617-7193 (14810) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $30.32 | $33 | +$2.68 | 49% 77987-81500 (159487) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $32.04 | $32.07 | +$0.03 | 59% 62257-43437 (105694) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 80.3¢ | $40.15 | $50 | +$9.85 | 57% 70922-54007 (124929) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $18.8 | $17.78 | -$1.03 | 46% 38121-45024 (83145) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $7.2 | — | -$7.2 | 46% 7951-9381 (17332) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $11.78 | $6.83 | +$5.02 | 64% 23273-12819 (36092) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $4.85 | $5 | +$0.15 | 66% 125851-64777 (190628) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $7.68 | $8 | +$0.32 | 61% 94946-59871 (154817) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $4.75 | $5 | +$0.25 | 52% 90356-84870 (175226) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.26 | — | -$0.26 | 55% 44953-37390 (82343) |
Invested
$145.53
Value
$147
PnL
+$1.47
Record
93%
23498-1772 (25270)
Invested
$46.92
Value
$40
PnL
-$6.92
Record
51%
7617-7193 (14810)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$30.32
Value
$33
PnL
+$2.68
Record
49%
77987-81500 (159487)
Invested
$32.04
Value
$32.07
PnL
+$0.03
Record
59%
62257-43437 (105694)
Invested
$40.15
Value
$50
PnL
+$9.85
Record
57%
70922-54007 (124929)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$18.8
Value
$17.78
PnL
-$1.03
Record
46%
38121-45024 (83145)
Invested
$7.2
Value
—
PnL
-$7.2
Record
46%
7951-9381 (17332)
Invested
$11.78
Value
$6.83
PnL
+$5.02
Record
64%
23273-12819 (36092)
Invested
$4.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.15
Record
66%
125851-64777 (190628)
Invested
$7.68
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.32
Record
61%
94946-59871 (154817)
Invested
$4.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.25
Record
52%
90356-84870 (175226)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.26
Value
—
PnL
-$0.26
Record
55%
44953-37390 (82343)
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