Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Up 56%
1 arb excluded
$6.4K
$202.14
Smart Money Signal
9 of 16 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $4.9K | $4.9K | +$4.95 | 59% 62257-43437 (105694) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.8¢ | $534.28 | $540.63 | +$6.35 | 93% 23498-1772 (25270) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 72.1¢ | $565.32 | $784.1 | +$218.78 | 57% 70922-54007 (124929) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 27.1¢ | $45.36 | $40 | -$5.36 | 51% 7617-7193 (14810) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 27.1¢ | $24.96 | — | -$24.96 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 51¢ | $20.4 | $40 | +$19.6 | |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 48% 23286-25627 (48913) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 78.7¢ | $30.69 | $24.18 | +$8.16 | 64% 23273-12819 (36092) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.3¢ | $19.75 | — | -$19.75 | 49% 77987-81500 (159487) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 89.1¢ | $15.28 | $15.61 | +$0.33 | 61% 94946-59871 (154817) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $11.55 | $22.65 | +$11.1 | 58% 37856-27105 (64961) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $10.2 | — | -$10.2 | 56% 58095-44840 (102935) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 7.4¢ | $15.26 | — | -$15.26 | 46% 38121-45024 (83145) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $8.2 | $10 | +$1.8 | 51% 20087-19234 (39321) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 67% 99557-47950 (147507) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $3.6 | $5.71 | +$2.11 | 66% 125851-64777 (190628) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $3.75 | $5.14 | +$1.39 | 55% 17817-14432 (32249) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $0.56 | — | -$0.56 | 55% 44953-37390 (82343) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112191-58626 (170817) |
Invested
$4,943.05
Value
$4.9K
PnL
+$4.95
Record
59%
62257-43437 (105694)
Invested
$534.28
Value
$540.63
PnL
+$6.35
Record
93%
23498-1772 (25270)
Invested
$565.32
Value
$784.1
PnL
+$218.78
Record
57%
70922-54007 (124929)
Invested
$45.36
Value
$40
PnL
-$5.36
Record
51%
7617-7193 (14810)
Both legs:
Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
48%
23286-25627 (48913)
Invested
$30.69
Value
$24.18
PnL
+$8.16
Record
64%
23273-12819 (36092)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$19.75
Value
—
PnL
-$19.75
Record
49%
77987-81500 (159487)
Invested
$15.28
Value
$15.61
PnL
+$0.33
Record
61%
94946-59871 (154817)
Invested
$11.55
Value
$22.65
PnL
+$11.1
Record
58%
37856-27105 (64961)
Invested
$10.2
Value
—
PnL
-$10.2
Record
56%
58095-44840 (102935)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$15.26
Value
—
PnL
-$15.26
Record
46%
38121-45024 (83145)
Invested
$8.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.8
Record
51%
20087-19234 (39321)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
67%
99557-47950 (147507)
Invested
$3.6
Value
$5.71
PnL
+$2.11
Record
66%
125851-64777 (190628)
Invested
$3.75
Value
$5.14
PnL
+$1.39
Record
55%
17817-14432 (32249)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.56
Value
—
PnL
-$0.56
Record
55%
44953-37390 (82343)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112191-58626 (170817)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up — $4.9K
hoodquant
Up — $540.63
uninformedfloww
Up — $784.1
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRDown — $0
aaa221
Up — $24.18
OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown — $0
asidjasiodja
Up — $15.61
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $22.65
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0