Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 53%
$850.81
-$208.67
Smart Money Signal
8 of 16 top traders (50%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.3¢ | $381.36 | $387.96 | +$6.6 | 93% 23467-1770 (25237) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 33.8¢ | $254.29 | — | -$254.29 | 57% 70901-53981 (124882) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 66.3¢ | $178.44 | $164.63 | -$13.81 | 68% 99525-47913 (147438) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 75.4¢ | $104.02 | $93.23 | -$10.79 | 51% 7596-7161 (14757) |
 wowitsamazing | Downavg 47.7¢ | $49.94 | $104.64 | +$54.7 | 57% 12656-9358 (22014) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 58.4¢ | $23.31 | $39.91 | +$16.6 | 49% 77987-81500 (159487) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 77.3¢ | $20.84 | $22.51 | +$1.67 | 64% 23206-12791 (35997) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 77.9¢ | $13.67 | $15.44 | +$1.77 | 55% 44917-37366 (82283) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 58.9¢ | $13.25 | $22.5 | +$9.25 | 55% 17781-14392 (32173) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 33.5¢ | $6.7 | — | -$6.7 | 58% 37847-27088 (64935) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 55.8¢ | $6.91 | — | -$6.91 | 61% 94915-59834 (154749) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $3.01 | — | -$3.01 | 56% 58073-44827 (102900) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $2.65 | — | -$2.65 | 66% 125811-64748 (190559) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.3¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 52% 90329-84819 (175148) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.02 | — | -$0.02 | 59% 62251-43417 (105668) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 41.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20077-19224 (39301) |
Invested
$381.36
Value
$387.96
PnL
+$6.6
Record
93%
23467-1770 (25237)
Invested
$254.29
Value
—
PnL
-$254.29
Record
57%
70901-53981 (124882)
Invested
$178.44
Value
$164.63
PnL
-$13.81
Record
68%
99525-47913 (147438)
Invested
$104.02
Value
$93.23
PnL
-$10.79
Record
51%
7596-7161 (14757)
wowitsamazingInvested
$49.94
Value
$104.64
PnL
+$54.7
Record
57%
12656-9358 (22014)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$23.31
Value
$39.91
PnL
+$16.6
Record
49%
77987-81500 (159487)
Invested
$20.84
Value
$22.51
PnL
+$1.67
Record
64%
23206-12791 (35997)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$13.67
Value
$15.44
PnL
+$1.77
Record
55%
44917-37366 (82283)
Invested
$13.25
Value
$22.5
PnL
+$9.25
Record
55%
17781-14392 (32173)
Invested
$6.7
Value
—
PnL
-$6.7
Record
58%
37847-27088 (64935)
Invested
$6.91
Value
—
PnL
-$6.91
Record
61%
94915-59834 (154749)
Invested
$3.01
Value
—
PnL
-$3.01
Record
56%
58073-44827 (102900)
Invested
$2.65
Value
—
PnL
-$2.65
Record
66%
125811-64748 (190559)
Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
52%
90329-84819 (175148)
Invested
$0.02
Value
—
PnL
-$0.02
Record
59%
62251-43417 (105668)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20077-19224 (39301)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $387.96
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $164.63
ply-pm2
Down — $93.23
wowitsamazing
Down — $104.64
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $39.91
aaa221
Down — $22.51
MayorMamdani
Down — $15.44
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $22.5
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0