Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 67%
2 arb excluded
$853.36
-$64.38
Smart Money Signal
12 of 18 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 72.8¢ | $189.67 | $198.93 | +$9.26 | 68% 99525-47913 (147438) |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 67.1¢ | $154.72 | $206.66 | +$51.94 | 51% 7596-7161 (14757) |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Downavg 17.8¢ | $112.42 | $91 | -$21.42 | 57% 70901-53981 (124882) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 17.8¢ | $64.09 | — | -$64.09 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 53.1¢ | $48.33 | $91 | +$42.67 | |
AS asidjasiodjaARB<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $69.87 | $73.25 | +$3.38 | 61% 94915-59834 (154749) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 72¢ | $52.76 | $73.25 | +$20.49 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 18.7¢ | $17.11 | — | -$17.11 | |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.8¢ | $49.81 | — | -$49.81 | 57% 12656-9358 (22014) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $36.98 | — | -$36.98 | 34% 18806-35806 (54612) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 72.5¢ | $36.5 | $50.35 | +$13.85 | 64% 23206-12791 (35997) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $49 | $50 | +$1 | 93% 23467-1770 (25237) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 87.3¢ | $35.89 | $41.1 | +$5.21 | 55% 44917-37366 (82283) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $42.93 | $43.36 | +$0.43 | 58% 60547-44207 (104754) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $24.57 | $25.08 | +$0.51 | 56% 58073-44827 (102900) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 51.8¢ | $33.43 | — | -$33.43 | 58% 37847-27088 (64935) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $23.22 | $25.8 | +$2.58 | 74% 102458-36400 (138858) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 88.7¢ | $17.4 | $15.45 | -$1.95 | 66% 125811-64748 (190559) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 83.5¢ | $13.77 | $12.37 | -$1.4 | 52% 90329-84819 (175148) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $5.05 | $10 | +$4.95 | 66% 112173-58591 (170764) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $8.9 | $10 | +$1.1 | 51% 20077-19224 (39301) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $13.53 | — | -$13.53 | 62% 43835-26840 (70675) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $8.96 | — | -$8.96 | 57% 7881-6054 (13935) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 34.9¢ | $9.15 | — | -$9.15 | 55% 17781-14392 (32173) |
Invested
$189.67
Value
$198.93
PnL
+$9.26
Record
68%
99525-47913 (147438)
Invested
$154.72
Value
$206.66
PnL
+$51.94
Record
51%
7596-7161 (14757)
Invested
$112.42
Value
$91
PnL
-$21.42
Record
57%
70901-53981 (124882)
Both legs:
Invested
$69.87
Value
$73.25
PnL
+$3.38
Record
61%
94915-59834 (154749)
Both legs:
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$49.81
Value
—
PnL
-$49.81
Record
57%
12656-9358 (22014)
Invested
$36.98
Value
—
PnL
-$36.98
Record
34%
18806-35806 (54612)
Invested
$36.5
Value
$50.35
PnL
+$13.85
Record
64%
23206-12791 (35997)
Invested
$49
Value
$50
PnL
+$1
Record
93%
23467-1770 (25237)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$35.89
Value
$41.1
PnL
+$5.21
Record
55%
44917-37366 (82283)
Invested
$42.93
Value
$43.36
PnL
+$0.43
Record
58%
60547-44207 (104754)
Invested
$24.57
Value
$25.08
PnL
+$0.51
Record
56%
58073-44827 (102900)
Invested
$33.43
Value
—
PnL
-$33.43
Record
58%
37847-27088 (64935)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$23.22
Value
$25.8
PnL
+$2.58
Record
74%
102458-36400 (138858)
Invested
$17.4
Value
$15.45
PnL
-$1.95
Record
66%
125811-64748 (190559)
Invested
$13.77
Value
$12.37
PnL
-$1.4
Record
52%
90329-84819 (175148)
Invested
$5.05
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.95
Record
66%
112173-58591 (170764)
Invested
$8.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.1
Record
51%
20077-19224 (39301)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$13.53
Value
—
PnL
-$13.53
Record
62%
43835-26840 (70675)
Invested
$8.96
Value
—
PnL
-$8.96
Record
57%
7881-6054 (13935)
Invested
$9.15
Value
—
PnL
-$9.15
Record
55%
17781-14392 (32173)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $198.93
ply-pm2
Up — $206.66
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asidjasiodja
ARBArbitrage — excluded
wowitsamazing
CTRDown — $0
Little-big
CTRDown — $0
aaa221
Up — $50.35
hoodquant
Up — $50
MayorMamdani
Up — $41.1
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $43.36