Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Down 69%
$405.41
-$18.26
Smart Money Signal
9 of 14 top traders (64%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.6Β’ | $118.31 | $120 | +$1.69 | 93% 23467-1770 (25237) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 70.8Β’ | $122.62 | $139.25 | +$16.63 | 51% 7596-7161 (14757) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 63.4Β’ | $100.4 | $91.88 | -$8.53 | 68% 99525-47913 (147438) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 95Β’ | $6.77 | $3.94 | -$2.83 | 49% 77987-81500 (159487) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 34.6Β’ | $18.71 | β | -$18.71 | 58% 37847-27088 (64935) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 89.6Β’ | $13.1 | $13 | -$0.1 | 52% 90329-84819 (175148) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 93.6Β’ | $16.24 | $17.34 | +$1.1 | 55% 44917-37366 (82283) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 51Β’ | $10.97 | β | -$10.97 | 62% 43835-26840 (70675) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 82.5Β’ | $8.25 | $10 | +$1.75 | 61% 94915-59834 (154749) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 81Β’ | $4.05 | $5 | +$0.95 | 66% 125811-64748 (190559) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 56Β’ | $2.8 | $5 | +$2.2 | 64% 40110-22937 (63047) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 28Β’ | $1.39 | β | -$1.39 | 64% 23206-12791 (35997) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 66% 112173-58591 (170764) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20077-19224 (39301) |
Invested
$118.31
Value
$120
PnL
+$1.69
Record
93%
23467-1770 (25237)
Invested
$122.62
Value
$139.25
PnL
+$16.63
Record
51%
7596-7161 (14757)
Invested
$100.4
Value
$91.88
PnL
-$8.53
Record
68%
99525-47913 (147438)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$6.77
Value
$3.94
PnL
-$2.83
Record
49%
77987-81500 (159487)
Invested
$18.71
Value
β
PnL
-$18.71
Record
58%
37847-27088 (64935)
Invested
$13.1
Value
$13
PnL
-$0.1
Record
52%
90329-84819 (175148)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$16.24
Value
$17.34
PnL
+$1.1
Record
55%
44917-37366 (82283)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$10.97
Value
β
PnL
-$10.97
Record
62%
43835-26840 (70675)
Invested
$8.25
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.75
Record
61%
94915-59834 (154749)
Invested
$4.05
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.95
Record
66%
125811-64748 (190559)
ohioism<$100Invested
$2.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.2
Record
64%
40110-22937 (63047)
Invested
$1.39
Value
β
PnL
-$1.39
Record
64%
23206-12791 (35997)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112173-58591 (170764)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20077-19224 (39301)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $120
ply-pm2
Down β $139.25
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $91.88

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $3.94
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
Down β $13

MayorMamdani
Down β $17.34

G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
Down β $10
asdaefef
Down β $5