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Consensus Won βœ“

Smart money consensus was Up β€” and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

πŸ†

Won

Consensus Traders

17

Up 63%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.6K

Combined PnL

-$52.46

Smart Money Signal

Up

11 of 17 top traders (65%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up11 traders
Total Value$914.61
Total Shares915
Combined PnL+$65.1
Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares221
Combined PnL-$117.55
Up β€” 65%Down β€” 35%
UN
uninformedflowwARB<$100
Down

Invested

$1,116

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$100.92

Record

57%

70901-53981 (124882)

Both legs:

Up$395.432.5Β’+$821.52
Down$720.649.3Β’-$720.6
HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$475

Value

$483.15

PnL

+$8.15

Record

93%

23467-1770 (25237)

PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$292.38

Value

$258.3

PnL

-$34.08

Record

51%

7596-7161 (14757)

Both legs:

Up$128.8549.9Β’+$129.45
Down$163.5351.5Β’-$163.53
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$237.82

Value

$236.83

PnL

-$1

Record

68%

99525-47913 (147438)

Both legs:

Up$147.2562.2Β’+$89.58
Down$90.5731Β’-$90.57
WZ
wzbbb
Up

Invested

$153.45

Value

$155

PnL

+$1.55

Record

57%

7881-6054 (13935)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$42.9

Value

β€”

PnL

-$42.9

Record

55%

17781-14392 (32173)

BoneOhio<$100
Up

Invested

$48.77

Value

$50.8

PnL

+$2.03

Record

74%

102458-36400 (138858)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$48.08

Value

$50.08

PnL

+$2

Record

64%

40110-22937 (63047)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$40.2

Value

$60

PnL

+$19.8

Record

64%

23206-12791 (35997)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$33.04

Value

$31

PnL

-$2.04

Record

66%

125811-64748 (190559)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$15.5

Value

β€”

PnL

-$15.5

Record

58%

37847-27088 (64935)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$33.59

Value

β€”

PnL

-$33.59

Record

55%

44917-37366 (82283)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$13.62

Value

β€”

PnL

-$13.62

Record

61%

94915-59834 (154749)

wowitsamazing<$100
Up

Invested

$18

Value

$39.13

PnL

+$21.13

Record

57%

12656-9358 (22014)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$15.65

Value

$25

PnL

+$9.35

Record

56%

58073-44827 (102900)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100
Up

Invested

$10.73

Value

$10.45

PnL

-$0.28

Record

63%

51921-30603 (82524)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$6.95

Value

β€”

PnL

-$6.95

Record

52%

90329-84819 (175148)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5

Value

β€”

PnL

-$5

Record

66%

112173-58591 (170764)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Up

Invested

$6.6

Value

$10

PnL

+$3.4

Record

58%

60547-44207 (104754)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

β€”

Value

β€”

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

20077-19224 (39301)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x216677db...62503c
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793369700
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