Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
17
Up 63%
3 arb excluded
$2.6K
-$52.46
Smart Money Signal
11 of 17 top traders (65%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Downavg 49.3Β’ | $1.1K | $1.2K | +$100.92 | 57% 70901-53981 (124882) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 32.5Β’ | $395.4 | $1.2K | +$821.52 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.3Β’ | $720.6 | β | -$720.6 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.3Β’ | $475 | $483.15 | +$8.15 | 93% 23467-1770 (25237) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 51.5Β’ | $292.38 | $258.3 | -$34.08 | 51% 7596-7161 (14757) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 49.9Β’ | $128.85 | $258.3 | +$129.45 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 51.5Β’ | $163.53 | β | -$163.53 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Upavg 62.2Β’ | $237.82 | $236.83 | -$1 | 68% 99525-47913 (147438) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 62.2Β’ | $147.25 | $236.83 | +$89.58 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 31Β’ | $90.57 | β | -$90.57 | |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 99Β’ | $153.45 | $155 | +$1.55 | 57% 7881-6054 (13935) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 76.9Β’ | $42.9 | β | -$42.9 | 55% 17781-14392 (32173) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 96Β’ | $48.77 | $50.8 | +$2.03 | 74% 102458-36400 (138858) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 96Β’ | $48.08 | $50.08 | +$2 | 64% 40110-22937 (63047) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 41Β’ | $40.2 | $60 | +$19.8 | 64% 23206-12791 (35997) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 72.2Β’ | $33.04 | $31 | -$2.04 | 66% 125811-64748 (190559) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 34.4Β’ | $15.5 | β | -$15.5 | 58% 37847-27088 (64935) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 43.6Β’ | $33.59 | β | -$33.59 | 55% 44917-37366 (82283) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 27.1Β’ | $13.62 | β | -$13.62 | 61% 94915-59834 (154749) |
![]() wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 46Β’ | $18 | $39.13 | +$21.13 | 57% 12656-9358 (22014) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 62Β’ | $15.65 | $25 | +$9.35 | 56% 58073-44827 (102900) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 78Β’ | $10.73 | $10.45 | -$0.28 | 63% 51921-30603 (82524) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 35.8Β’ | $6.95 | β | -$6.95 | 52% 90329-84819 (175148) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 43Β’ | $5 | β | -$5 | 66% 112173-58591 (170764) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 66Β’ | $6.6 | $10 | +$3.4 | 58% 60547-44207 (104754) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20077-19224 (39301) |
Invested
$1,116
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$100.92
Record
57%
70901-53981 (124882)
Both legs:
Invested
$475
Value
$483.15
PnL
+$8.15
Record
93%
23467-1770 (25237)
Invested
$292.38
Value
$258.3
PnL
-$34.08
Record
51%
7596-7161 (14757)
Both legs:
Invested
$237.82
Value
$236.83
PnL
-$1
Record
68%
99525-47913 (147438)
Both legs:
Invested
$153.45
Value
$155
PnL
+$1.55
Record
57%
7881-6054 (13935)
Invested
$42.9
Value
β
PnL
-$42.9
Record
55%
17781-14392 (32173)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$48.77
Value
$50.8
PnL
+$2.03
Record
74%
102458-36400 (138858)
ohioism<$100Invested
$48.08
Value
$50.08
PnL
+$2
Record
64%
40110-22937 (63047)
Invested
$40.2
Value
$60
PnL
+$19.8
Record
64%
23206-12791 (35997)
Invested
$33.04
Value
$31
PnL
-$2.04
Record
66%
125811-64748 (190559)
Invested
$15.5
Value
β
PnL
-$15.5
Record
58%
37847-27088 (64935)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$33.59
Value
β
PnL
-$33.59
Record
55%
44917-37366 (82283)
Invested
$13.62
Value
β
PnL
-$13.62
Record
61%
94915-59834 (154749)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$18
Value
$39.13
PnL
+$21.13
Record
57%
12656-9358 (22014)
Invested
$15.65
Value
$25
PnL
+$9.35
Record
56%
58073-44827 (102900)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$10.73
Value
$10.45
PnL
-$0.28
Record
63%
51921-30603 (82524)
Invested
$6.95
Value
β
PnL
-$6.95
Record
52%
90329-84819 (175148)
Invested
$5
Value
β
PnL
-$5
Record
66%
112173-58591 (170764)
Invested
$6.6
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.4
Record
58%
60547-44207 (104754)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20077-19224 (39301)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage β excluded
hoodquant
Up β $483.15
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage β excluded
wzbbb
Up β $155
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRDown β $0

BoneOhio
Up β $50.8

ohioism
Up β $50.08
aaa221
Up β $60
asdaefef
Up β $31