Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 78%
$386.95
$83.79
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 55.9Β’ | $116 | $207.46 | +$91.46 | 57% 70901-53981 (124882) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 75.9Β’ | $78.5 | $73.69 | -$4.81 | 51% 7596-7161 (14757) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9Β’ | $43.84 | $43.88 | +$0.04 | 59% 62251-43417 (105668) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 72Β’ | $35.51 | $30 | -$5.51 | 68% 99525-47913 (147438) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $9.9 | $10 | +$0.1 | 93% 23467-1770 (25237) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 59.9Β’ | $9.5 | $15.85 | +$6.35 | 55% 17781-14392 (32173) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 93Β’ | $5.64 | $6.06 | +$0.42 | 66% 125811-64748 (190559) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 39Β’ | $3.22 | β | -$3.22 | 64% 23206-12791 (35997) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 15Β’ | $1.05 | β | -$1.05 | 61% 94915-59834 (154749) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20077-19224 (39301) |
Invested
$116
Value
$207.46
PnL
+$91.46
Record
57%
70901-53981 (124882)
Invested
$78.5
Value
$73.69
PnL
-$4.81
Record
51%
7596-7161 (14757)
Invested
$43.84
Value
$43.88
PnL
+$0.04
Record
59%
62251-43417 (105668)
Invested
$35.51
Value
$30
PnL
-$5.51
Record
68%
99525-47913 (147438)
Invested
$9.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.1
Record
93%
23467-1770 (25237)
Invested
$9.5
Value
$15.85
PnL
+$6.35
Record
55%
17781-14392 (32173)
Invested
$5.64
Value
$6.06
PnL
+$0.42
Record
66%
125811-64748 (190559)
Invested
$3.22
Value
β
PnL
-$3.22
Record
64%
23206-12791 (35997)
Invested
$1.05
Value
β
PnL
-$1.05
Record
61%
94915-59834 (154749)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20077-19224 (39301)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Down β $207.46
ply-pm2
Down β $73.69
0x50f7
Down β $43.88
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $30
hoodquant
Down β $10
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $15.85
asdaefef
Down β $6.06
aaa221
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
CTRUp β $0
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0