Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Up 63%
2 arb excluded
$1.2K
-$150.69
Smart Money Signal
10 of 16 top traders (63%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Downavg 40.7¢ | $469.36 | $200 | -$269.36 | 57% 70901-53981 (124882) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 40.7¢ | $315.36 | — | -$315.36 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 77¢ | $154 | $200 | +$46 | |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR | Downavg 62.9¢ | $296.39 | — | -$296.39 | 48% 23276-25616 (48892) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.7¢ | $231.19 | $249.11 | +$17.92 | 51% 7596-7161 (14757) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.7¢ | $123.75 | $249.11 | +$125.36 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 32.6¢ | $107.44 | — | -$107.44 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $181.17 | $183 | +$1.83 | 93% 23467-1770 (25237) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 48.8¢ | $151.49 | $310.14 | +$158.65 | 58% 37847-27088 (64935) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 63.8¢ | $55.35 | $76.16 | +$20.82 | 55% 17781-14392 (32173) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 59.5¢ | $51.34 | $53 | +$1.66 | 54% 10895-9292 (20187) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $26.71 | $32 | +$5.29 | 61% 94915-59834 (154749) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 62.8¢ | $28.7 | $29.25 | +$0.56 | 52% 90329-84819 (175148) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $16.6 | — | -$16.6 | 56% 58073-44827 (102900) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $15.52 | — | -$15.52 | 58% 60547-44207 (104754) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $8.57 | $8 | -$0.57 | 66% 125811-64748 (190559) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 26.7¢ | $4.53 | $10.33 | +$5.81 | 64% 23206-12791 (35997) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $7.39 | — | -$7.39 | 46% 7940-9367 (17307) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $5.33 | — | -$5.33 | 57% 7881-6054 (13935) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 68.1¢ | $27.99 | $10.51 | -$6.33 | 51% 20077-19224 (39301) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $6.12 | $9 | +$2.88 | 55% 44917-37366 (82283) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112173-58591 (170764) |
Invested
$469.36
Value
$200
PnL
-$269.36
Record
57%
70901-53981 (124882)
Both legs:
Invested
$296.39
Value
—
PnL
-$296.39
Record
48%
23276-25616 (48892)
Invested
$231.19
Value
$249.11
PnL
+$17.92
Record
51%
7596-7161 (14757)
Both legs:
Invested
$181.17
Value
$183
PnL
+$1.83
Record
93%
23467-1770 (25237)
Invested
$151.49
Value
$310.14
PnL
+$158.65
Record
58%
37847-27088 (64935)
Invested
$55.35
Value
$76.16
PnL
+$20.82
Record
55%
17781-14392 (32173)
Invested
$51.34
Value
$53
PnL
+$1.66
Record
54%
10895-9292 (20187)
Invested
$26.71
Value
$32
PnL
+$5.29
Record
61%
94915-59834 (154749)
Invested
$28.7
Value
$29.25
PnL
+$0.56
Record
52%
90329-84819 (175148)
Invested
$16.6
Value
—
PnL
-$16.6
Record
56%
58073-44827 (102900)
Invested
$15.52
Value
—
PnL
-$15.52
Record
58%
60547-44207 (104754)
Invested
$8.57
Value
$8
PnL
-$0.57
Record
66%
125811-64748 (190559)
Invested
$4.53
Value
$10.33
PnL
+$5.81
Record
64%
23206-12791 (35997)
Invested
$7.39
Value
—
PnL
-$7.39
Record
46%
7940-9367 (17307)
Invested
$5.33
Value
—
PnL
-$5.33
Record
57%
7881-6054 (13935)
Invested
$27.99
Value
$10.51
PnL
-$6.33
Record
51%
20077-19224 (39301)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$6.12
Value
$9
PnL
+$2.88
Record
55%
44917-37366 (82283)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112173-58591 (170764)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $183
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $310.14
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $76.16
thesidehustle
Up — $53
asidjasiodja
Up — $32
dvasdkasodk
Up — $29.25
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0