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UpDownUpDownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$44.41
Combined PnL
-$12.6
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares151
Combined PnL-$9.94
Down3 traders
Total Value$44.41
Total Shares44
Combined PnL-$2.66
Up — 57%Down — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.4¢ | $1.97 | — | -$1.97 | 59% 62228-43400 (105628) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $21.66 | $21 | -$0.66 | 61% 94870-59807 (154677) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 23.4¢ | $6.4 | — | -$6.4 | 51% 7567-7131 (14698) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98.5¢ | $12.81 | $13 | +$0.19 | 66% 125752-64727 (190479) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $12.6 | $10.41 | -$2.19 | 55% 17763-14385 (32148) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.3¢ | $1.51 | — | -$1.51 | 55% 44884-37341 (82225) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112148-58563 (170711) |
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$1.97
Value
—
PnL
-$1.97
Record
59%
62228-43400 (105628)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$21.66
Value
$21
PnL
-$0.66
Record
61%
94870-59807 (154677)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$6.4
Value
—
PnL
-$6.4
Record
51%
7567-7131 (14698)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$12.81
Value
$13
PnL
+$0.19
Record
66%
125752-64727 (190479)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100Invested
$12.6
Value
$10.41
PnL
-$2.19
Record
55%
17763-14385 (32148)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.51
Value
—
PnL
-$1.51
Record
55%
44884-37341 (82225)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112148-58563 (170711)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xac105f65...5ecc3f
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793360100