Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 27% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Down 27%
$407
-$150.26
Smart Money Signal
3 of 11 top traders (27%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $372.19 | $376 | +$3.81 | 93% 23399-1767 (25166) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 32.9Β’ | $92.99 | β | -$92.99 | 51% 7530-7094 (14624) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 66.8Β’ | $40.5 | β | -$40.5 | 55% 17762-14385 (32147) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 20Β’ | $7.76 | β | -$7.76 | 55% 44849-37309 (82158) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 41.2Β’ | $16.46 | β | -$16.46 | 61% 94821-59772 (154593) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 44.4Β’ | $13.8 | $25 | +$11.2 | 65% 125137-66970 (192107) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 80Β’ | $6.3 | β | -$6.3 | 66% 125490-64588 (190078) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 41Β’ | $4.1 | β | -$4.1 | 51% 20058-19208 (39266) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 27Β’ | $1.62 | $6 | +$4.38 | 64% 23076-12710 (35786) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 9Β’ | $1.1 | β | -$1.1 | 63% 51856-30563 (82419) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 4Β’ | $0.44 | β | -$0.44 | 56% 58027-44801 (102828) |
Invested
$372.19
Value
$376
PnL
+$3.81
Record
93%
23399-1767 (25166)
Invested
$92.99
Value
β
PnL
-$92.99
Record
51%
7530-7094 (14624)
Invested
$40.5
Value
β
PnL
-$40.5
Record
55%
17762-14385 (32147)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$7.76
Value
β
PnL
-$7.76
Record
55%
44849-37309 (82158)
Invested
$16.46
Value
β
PnL
-$16.46
Record
61%
94821-59772 (154593)
Invested
$13.8
Value
$25
PnL
+$11.2
Record
65%
125137-66970 (192107)
Invested
$6.3
Value
β
PnL
-$6.3
Record
66%
125490-64588 (190078)
Invested
$4.1
Value
β
PnL
-$4.1
Record
51%
20058-19208 (39266)
Invested
$1.62
Value
$6
PnL
+$4.38
Record
64%
23076-12710 (35786)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
β
PnL
-$1.1
Record
63%
51856-30563 (82419)
Invested
$0.44
Value
β
PnL
-$0.44
Record
56%
58027-44801 (102828)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $376
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0

MayorMamdani
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
CTRUp β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $25
asdaefef
CTRUp β $0
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
Down β $6

UpandDownSyndrome
CTRUp β $0