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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Resolved Up. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Down 69%

Total Value

$72.7

Combined PnL

-$128.61

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 13 top traders (69%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares567
Combined PnL-$160.28
Up4 traders
Total Value$72.7
Total Shares73
Combined PnL+$31.67
Down — 69%Up — 31%
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$40.11

Value

—

PnL

-$40.11

Record

51%

7530-7094 (14624)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$23.48

Value

$50.28

PnL

+$26.8

Record

56%

58027-44801 (102828)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$27.94

Value

—

PnL

-$27.94

Record

68%

99316-47652 (146968)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$20.54

Value

—

PnL

-$20.54

Record

58%

60512-44183 (104695)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$21.15

Value

—

PnL

-$21.15

Record

55%

17762-14385 (32147)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$18

Value

—

PnL

-$18

Record

65%

125137-66970 (192107)

LI
Little-bigCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$19

Value

—

PnL

-$19

Record

34%

18780-35785 (54565)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.75

Value

—

PnL

-$4.75

Record

59%

62205-43384 (105589)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$7.98

Value

—

PnL

-$7.98

Record

64%

23076-12710 (35786)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$6.65

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.35

Record

66%

125490-64588 (190078)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$4

Value

$5.12

PnL

+$1.12

Record

61%

94821-59772 (154593)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

$6.9

Value

$10.3

PnL

+$3.4

Record

51%

20058-19208 (39266)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.8

Value

—

PnL

-$0.8

Record

55%

44849-37309 (82158)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x56ea8f0b...1184b3
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793357400

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$40.11
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $50.28

+$26.8
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Down — $0

-$27.94
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Down — $0

-$20.54
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Down — $0

-$21.15
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

CTR

Down — $0

-$18
LI

Little-big

CTR

Down — $0

-$19
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.75
AA

aaa221

CTR

Down — $0

-$7.98
AS

asdaefef

Up — $7

+$0.35
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