Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Down 90%
$240.73
$63.34
Smart Money Signal
9 of 10 top traders (90%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $69.53 | $70.23 | +$0.7 | 93% 23362-1766 (25128) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 53.9¢ | $20.14 | $33.5 | +$13.36 | 52% 7510-7071 (14581) |
0D 0x0d2d...7ff5<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $31.85 | $65 | +$33.15 | 46% 7894-9296 (17190) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 96.3¢ | $18.29 | $19 | +$0.71 | 61% 94795-59739 (154534) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $9.99 | $10 | +$0.01 | 59% 62201-43367 (105568) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $9.1 | $10.11 | +$1.01 | 66% 125488-64588 (190076) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 40.7¢ | $7.68 | $18.86 | +$11.18 | 54% 10837-9261 (20098) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 10.5¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 51% 20047-19201 (39248) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $4.75 | $5 | +$0.25 | 52% 90207-84703 (174910) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $4.97 | $9.03 | +$4.06 | 65% 125105-66947 (192052) |
Invested
$69.53
Value
$70.23
PnL
+$0.7
Record
93%
23362-1766 (25128)
Invested
$20.14
Value
$33.5
PnL
+$13.36
Record
52%
7510-7071 (14581)
Invested
$31.85
Value
$65
PnL
+$33.15
Record
46%
7894-9296 (17190)
Invested
$18.29
Value
$19
PnL
+$0.71
Record
61%
94795-59739 (154534)
Invested
$9.99
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.01
Record
59%
62201-43367 (105568)
Invested
$9.1
Value
$10.11
PnL
+$1.01
Record
66%
125488-64588 (190076)
Invested
$7.68
Value
$18.86
PnL
+$11.18
Record
54%
10837-9261 (20098)
Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
51%
20047-19201 (39248)
Invested
$4.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.25
Record
52%
90207-84703 (174910)
Invested
$4.97
Value
$9.03
PnL
+$4.06
Record
65%
125105-66947 (192052)
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