Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 38%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$313.87

Combined PnL

-$116.7

Down

3 of 9 top traders (33%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down3 traders

Total Value$149.64

Total Shares150

Combined PnL+$23.65

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares195

Combined PnL-$140.35

Down — 33%Up — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 44.9¢	$210.87	$164.23	-$46.64	51% 7486-7050 (14536)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.8¢	$81.82	$164.23	+$82.41
└ Up leg	Upavg 44.9¢	$129.05	—	-$129.05
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$102.69	$103.73	+$1.04	93% 23323-1765 (25088)
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100	Upavg 46.5¢	$60.22	—	-$60.22	54% 10837-9261 (20098)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 54.5¢	$31.92	—	-$31.92	64% 22980-12672 (35652)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 64.1¢	$30.13	—	-$30.13	61% 94766-59706 (154472)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 55¢	$22	$40	+$18	56% 57982-44777 (102759)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 68¢	$7.48	—	-$7.48	65% 125073-66927 (192000)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 51.5¢	$10.6	—	-$10.6	55% 44800-37263 (82063)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 22¢	$1.3	$5.91	+$4.61	52% 90179-84671 (174850)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	51% 20036-19191 (39227)