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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Down β€” but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Down 63%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$142.45

Combined PnL

-$51.41

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares356
Combined PnL-$61.81
Up3 traders
Total Value$62.45
Total Shares62
Combined PnL+$10.4
Down β€” 63%Up β€” 37%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xd64b85be...3f8668
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793343000
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