Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 60%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$219.06

Combined PnL

-$17.85

Down

3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares103

Combined PnL-$29.8

Down3 traders

Total Value$84

Total Shares84

Combined PnL+$11.95

Up — 40%Down — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 48.8¢	$73.1	$135.06	+$61.96	51% 7486-7050 (14536)
└ Up leg	Upavg 5.1¢	$7.22	—	-$7.22
└ Down leg	Downavg 48.8¢	$65.88	$135.06	+$69.18
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 5.4¢	$3.4	—	-$3.4	55% 44800-37263 (82063)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 53.3¢	$23.2	$30	+$6.8	64% 58239-32920 (91159)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 37¢	$26.4	—	-$26.4	65% 125073-66927 (192000)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 70.7¢	$29.24	$34	+$4.76	64% 22980-12672 (35652)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 98¢	$19.6	$20	+$0.4	61% 94766-59706 (154472)