Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 67%
$378.04
$75.01
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 58.6¢ | $196.36 | $241.71 | +$45.35 | 51% 7486-7050 (14536) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 75.7¢ | $38.65 | $51.02 | +$12.37 | 55% 44800-37263 (82063) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 78.5¢ | $29.26 | $32.62 | +$5.76 | 64% 22980-12672 (35652) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $17.16 | $17.69 | +$0.53 | 93% 23323-1765 (25088) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 52.7¢ | $10.7 | $15 | +$4.3 | 64% 58239-32920 (91159) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $8.4 | $20 | +$11.6 | 65% 125073-66927 (192000) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $2.9 | — | -$2.9 | 51% 20036-19191 (39227) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $1.96 | — | -$1.96 | 61% 94766-59706 (154472) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112081-58477 (170558) |
Invested
$196.36
Value
$241.71
PnL
+$45.35
Record
51%
7486-7050 (14536)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$38.65
Value
$51.02
PnL
+$12.37
Record
55%
44800-37263 (82063)
Invested
$29.26
Value
$32.62
PnL
+$5.76
Record
64%
22980-12672 (35652)
Invested
$17.16
Value
$17.69
PnL
+$0.53
Record
93%
23323-1765 (25088)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$10.7
Value
$15
PnL
+$4.3
Record
64%
58239-32920 (91159)
Invested
$8.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$11.6
Record
65%
125073-66927 (192000)
Invested
$2.9
Value
—
PnL
-$2.9
Record
51%
20036-19191 (39227)
Invested
$1.96
Value
—
PnL
-$1.96
Record
61%
94766-59706 (154472)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112081-58477 (170558)
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