Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Up 67%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$528.78

Combined PnL

-$255.95

7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares362

Combined PnL-$323.15

Down3 traders

Total Value$126.97

Total Shares127

Combined PnL+$67.2

Up — 70%Down — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 38.4¢	$225.24	$277.95	+$52.71	51% 7486-7050 (14536)
└ Up leg	Upavg 38.4¢	$143.76	—	-$143.76
└ Down leg	Downavg 29.3¢	$81.48	$277.95	+$196.47
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR	Upavg 91.6¢	$274.93	—	-$274.93	48% 23252-25544 (48796)
AS asidjasiodjaARB<$100	Upavg 77.1¢	$69.57	$67.6	-$1.97	61% 94766-59706 (154472)
└ Up leg	Upavg 77.1¢	$55.12	—	-$55.12
└ Down leg	Downavg 21.4¢	$14.45	$67.6	+$53.15
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100	Upavg 52.3¢	$56.21	$56.25	+$0.03	64% 58239-32920 (91159)
└ Up leg	Upavg 52.3¢	$35.91	—	-$35.91
└ Down leg	Downavg 36.1¢	$20.31	$56.25	+$35.94
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 20.7¢	$20.69	$59.9	+$43.86	64% 22980-12672 (35652)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 69.3¢	$40.74	$44	+$3.26	55% 44800-37263 (82063)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 81.8¢	$25.98	—	-$25.98	52% 90179-84671 (174850)
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100	Upavg 42¢	$10.08	—	-$10.08	57% 7817-5997 (13814)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 13¢	$3	$23.08	+$20.08	65% 125073-66927 (192000)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 86¢	$8.6	—	-$8.6	64% 40040-22899 (62939)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 68¢	$3.51	—	-$3.51	58% 60485-44163 (104648)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	66% 112081-58477 (170558)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	51% 20036-19191 (39227)