Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Up 71%
1 arb excluded
$724
$15.69
Smart Money Signal
10 of 15 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9¢ | $343.03 | $347 | +$3.97 | 93% 23285-1761 (25046) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 46.1¢ | $176.69 | $196.35 | +$19.66 | 51% 7452-7030 (14482) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 46.1¢ | $90.57 | $196.35 | +$105.78 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 20.2¢ | $86.12 | — | -$86.12 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 64.4¢ | $41.79 | $60 | +$18.21 | 64% 22926-12644 (35570) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 71.1¢ | $45.86 | $26 | -$0.06 | 64% 58208-32895 (91103) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $21.13 | $5 | -$1.18 | 65% 124927-66830 (191757) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 74.8¢ | $15.39 | $19.57 | +$4.18 | 55% 44783-37243 (82026) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 80.2¢ | $18.49 | $16.26 | -$2.23 | 52% 90141-84640 (174781) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $15.2 | $12.67 | -$2.53 | 63% 51801-30522 (82323) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $9 | $19.15 | +$10.15 | 58% 12626-9308 (21934) |
0D 0x0d2d...7ff5CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $7.38 | — | -$7.38 | 46% 7787-9202 (16989) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $6.2 | $10 | +$3.8 | 51% 20024-19184 (39208) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 43.6¢ | $5.23 | $12 | +$6.77 | 57% 7798-5980 (13778) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $17.2 | — | -$17.2 | 61% 94725-59677 (154402) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $0.75 | — | -$0.75 | 56% 57965-44765 (102730) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112064-58449 (170513) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $0 | — | -$0.01 | 64% 40024-22885 (62909) |
Invested
$343.03
Value
$347
PnL
+$3.97
Record
93%
23285-1761 (25046)
Invested
$176.69
Value
$196.35
PnL
+$19.66
Record
51%
7452-7030 (14482)
Both legs:
Invested
$41.79
Value
$60
PnL
+$18.21
Record
64%
22926-12644 (35570)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$45.86
Value
$26
PnL
-$0.06
Record
64%
58208-32895 (91103)
Invested
$21.13
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.18
Record
65%
124927-66830 (191757)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$15.39
Value
$19.57
PnL
+$4.18
Record
55%
44783-37243 (82026)
Invested
$18.49
Value
$16.26
PnL
-$2.23
Record
52%
90141-84640 (174781)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$15.2
Value
$12.67
PnL
-$2.53
Record
63%
51801-30522 (82323)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$9
Value
$19.15
PnL
+$10.15
Record
58%
12626-9308 (21934)
Invested
$7.38
Value
—
PnL
-$7.38
Record
46%
7787-9202 (16989)
Invested
$6.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.8
Record
51%
20024-19184 (39208)
Invested
$5.23
Value
$12
PnL
+$6.77
Record
57%
7798-5980 (13778)
Invested
$17.2
Value
—
PnL
-$17.2
Record
61%
94725-59677 (154402)
Invested
$0.75
Value
—
PnL
-$0.75
Record
56%
57965-44765 (102730)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112064-58449 (170513)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$0
Value
—
PnL
-$0.01
Record
64%
40024-22885 (62909)
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