Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 70%
$107.56
-$89.69
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR | Upavg 32¢ | $101.6 | — | -$101.6 | 51% 7452-7030 (14482) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 86.4¢ | $23.64 | $25.42 | +$1.78 | 61% 94725-59677 (154402) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $17.4 | $20.23 | +$2.83 | 65% 124927-66830 (191757) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $11.67 | $12.32 | +$0.65 | 52% 90141-84640 (174781) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $14.87 | $17.09 | +$2.22 | 58% 60468-44149 (104617) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $14.08 | $16 | +$1.92 | 64% 40024-22885 (62909) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $11.32 | $14.51 | +$3.19 | 64% 22926-12644 (35570) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 51% 20024-19184 (39208) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.28 | — | -$0.28 | 55% 44783-37243 (82026) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 | 34% 18750-35751 (54501) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 64% 58208-32895 (91103) |
Invested
$101.6
Value
—
PnL
-$101.6
Record
51%
7452-7030 (14482)
Invested
$23.64
Value
$25.42
PnL
+$1.78
Record
61%
94725-59677 (154402)
Invested
$17.4
Value
$20.23
PnL
+$2.83
Record
65%
124927-66830 (191757)
Invested
$11.67
Value
$12.32
PnL
+$0.65
Record
52%
90141-84640 (174781)
Invested
$14.87
Value
$17.09
PnL
+$2.22
Record
58%
60468-44149 (104617)
ohioism<$100Invested
$14.08
Value
$16
PnL
+$1.92
Record
64%
40024-22885 (62909)
Invested
$11.32
Value
$14.51
PnL
+$3.19
Record
64%
22926-12644 (35570)
Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
51%
20024-19184 (39208)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.28
Value
—
PnL
-$0.28
Record
55%
44783-37243 (82026)
Invested
$1
Value
$2
PnL
+$1
Record
34%
18750-35751 (54501)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
58208-32895 (91103)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
asidjasiodja
Down — $25.42
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $20.23
dvasdkasodk
Down — $12.32
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $17.09
ohioism
Down — $16
aaa221
Down — $14.51
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0
MayorMamdani
CTRUp — $0
Little-big
Down — $2