Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 88%
$330.45
$5.52
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98¢ | $154.84 | $158 | +$3.16 | 93% 23285-1761 (25046) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 84.2¢ | $90.44 | $85.65 | -$4.79 | 51% 7452-7030 (14482) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $25.74 | $27 | +$1.26 | 55% 44783-37243 (82026) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $20.84 | $22.65 | +$1.81 | 61% 94725-59677 (154402) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $20.25 | $25 | +$4.75 | 65% 124927-66830 (191757) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $6.72 | $7.15 | +$0.43 | 52% 90141-84640 (174781) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 51% 20024-19184 (39208) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $4.3 | $5 | +$0.7 | 64% 58208-32895 (91103) |
Invested
$154.84
Value
$158
PnL
+$3.16
Record
93%
23285-1761 (25046)
Invested
$90.44
Value
$85.65
PnL
-$4.79
Record
51%
7452-7030 (14482)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$25.74
Value
$27
PnL
+$1.26
Record
55%
44783-37243 (82026)
Invested
$20.84
Value
$22.65
PnL
+$1.81
Record
61%
94725-59677 (154402)
Invested
$20.25
Value
$25
PnL
+$4.75
Record
65%
124927-66830 (191757)
Invested
$6.72
Value
$7.15
PnL
+$0.43
Record
52%
90141-84640 (174781)
Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
51%
20024-19184 (39208)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$4.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.7
Record
64%
58208-32895 (91103)
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