Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Up 70%
$238.94
-$2.05
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 75.4Β’ | $88.77 | $73.88 | -$14.89 | 51% 7416-7015 (14431) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 85Β’ | $42.9 | $50.18 | +$7.28 | 64% 40003-22867 (62870) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 85Β’ | $29.33 | $24.51 | -$4.82 | 58% 60444-44134 (104578) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 72.7Β’ | $36.34 | $50.01 | +$13.67 | 64% 22856-12613 (35469) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 47Β’ | $11.95 | $20.23 | +$8.28 | 64% 58184-32863 (91047) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 96Β’ | $18.24 | $19 | +$0.76 | 65% 124925-66828 (191753) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 4.6Β’ | $5.2 | β | -$5.2 | 55% 44748-37210 (81958) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 26Β’ | $3.97 | β | -$3.97 | 61% 94696-59644 (154340) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 32Β’ | $3.2 | β | -$3.2 | 58% 37772-27004 (64776) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 96Β’ | $1.08 | $1.13 | +$0.05 | 93% 23242-1759 (25001) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20005-19176 (39181) |
Invested
$88.77
Value
$73.88
PnL
-$14.89
Record
51%
7416-7015 (14431)
ohioism<$100Invested
$42.9
Value
$50.18
PnL
+$7.28
Record
64%
40003-22867 (62870)
Invested
$29.33
Value
$24.51
PnL
-$4.82
Record
58%
60444-44134 (104578)
Invested
$36.34
Value
$50.01
PnL
+$13.67
Record
64%
22856-12613 (35469)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$11.95
Value
$20.23
PnL
+$8.28
Record
64%
58184-32863 (91047)
Invested
$18.24
Value
$19
PnL
+$0.76
Record
65%
124925-66828 (191753)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.2
Value
β
PnL
-$5.2
Record
55%
44748-37210 (81958)
Invested
$3.97
Value
β
PnL
-$3.97
Record
61%
94696-59644 (154340)
Invested
$3.2
Value
β
PnL
-$3.2
Record
58%
37772-27004 (64776)
Invested
$1.08
Value
$1.13
PnL
+$0.05
Record
93%
23242-1759 (25001)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20005-19176 (39181)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Up β $73.88

ohioism
Up β $50.18
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up β $24.51
aaa221
Up β $50.01

Polkadot-Frog
Up β $20.23
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $19

MayorMamdani
CTRDown β $0
asidjasiodja
CTRDown β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown β $0
hoodquant
Up β $1.13