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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Up 73%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$762

Combined PnL

$27.86

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 12 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders

Total Value$656.38

Total Shares656

Combined PnL+$33.23

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares121

Combined PnL-$5.37

Up — 75%Down — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.2¢	$350.74	$357.05	+$6.31	93% 23242-1759 (25001)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 60.9¢	$97.44	$105.62	+$8.18	51% 7416-7015 (14431)
└ Up leg	Upavg 60.9¢	$64.34	$105.62	+$41.28
└ Down leg	Downavg 9.4¢	$33.1	—	-$33.1
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 98.9¢	$116.05	$117.29	+$1.24	58% 37772-27004 (64776)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 85.1¢	$41.25	$44.54	+$3.29	61% 94696-59644 (154340)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 82.5¢	$44.13	$51.26	+$7.13	64% 22856-12613 (35469)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Upavg 83¢	$40.89	$49.24	+$8.35	63% 51772-30494 (82266)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 56¢	$22.8	$20	+$0	65% 124925-66828 (191753)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$2.01	—	-$2.01	58% 60444-44134 (104578)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Upavg 52¢	$6.24	$12	+$5.76	57% 7784-5961 (13745)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 16¢	$3.06	—	-$3.06	64% 40003-22867 (62870)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Upavg 77¢	$3.85	$5	+$1.15	64% 58184-32863 (91047)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 20¢	$0.3	—	-$0.3	55% 44748-37210 (81958)
DE devonpoll<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	51% 20005-19176 (39181)

Invested

$350.74

Value

$357.05

PnL

+$6.31

Record

93%

23242-1759 (25001)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$97.44

Value

$105.62

PnL

+$8.18

Record

51%

7416-7015 (14431)

Both legs:

Up$64.3460.9¢+$41.28

Down$33.19.4¢-$33.1

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$116.05

Value

$117.29

PnL

+$1.24

Record

58%

37772-27004 (64776)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$41.25

Value

$44.54

PnL

+$3.29

Record

61%

94696-59644 (154340)

Invested

$44.13

Value

$51.26

PnL

+$7.13

Record

64%

22856-12613 (35469)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$40.89

Value

$49.24

PnL

+$8.35

Record

63%

51772-30494 (82266)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$22.8

Value

$20

PnL

+$0

Record

65%

124925-66828 (191753)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$2.01

Value

—

PnL

-$2.01

Record

58%

60444-44134 (104578)

Invested

$6.24

Value

$12

PnL

+$5.76

Record

57%

7784-5961 (13745)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$3.06

Value

—

PnL

-$3.06

Record

64%

40003-22867 (62870)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$3.85

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.15

Record

64%

58184-32863 (91047)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$0.3

Value

—

PnL

-$0.3

Record

55%

44748-37210 (81958)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

20005-19176 (39181)

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 12 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xb5f6b20b...71ac0a

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793334600

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Up — $357.05

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $117.29

asidjasiodja

Up — $44.54

aaa221

Up — $51.26

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $49.24

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $20

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

wzbbb

Up — $12

ohioism

Down — $0

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