Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 75%
$43.0K
$33.7
Smart Money Signal
12 of 16 top traders (75%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $34.1K | $34.1K | +$34.09 | 59% 62167-43333 (105500) |
SH Sharky6999 | Downavg 99.4¢ | $4.7K | $4.7K | +$27.19 | 98% 6848-164 (7012) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 99¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$15.56 | 58% 37772-27004 (64776) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$12.38 | 93% 23242-1759 (25001) |
RO Rock.San | Downavg 99¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$10.93 | 89% 11942-1414 (13356) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 84.8¢ | $224.21 | $160 | -$64.21 | 51% 7416-7015 (14431) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 64% 40003-22867 (62870) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 73.8¢ | $63.4 | $55 | +$0.65 | 64% 58184-32863 (91047) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 73.2¢ | $22.84 | $29 | +$6.16 | 55% 44748-37210 (81958) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 87.1¢ | $16.42 | $17.7 | +$1.28 | 63% 51772-30494 (82266) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 90.8¢ | $16.83 | $17 | +$0.17 | 61% 94696-59644 (154340) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $5.8 | — | -$5.8 | 64% 22856-12613 (35469) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 51% 20005-19176 (39181) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $8.3 | $10 | +$1.7 | 52% 90119-84595 (174714) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $3.05 | $5 | +$1.95 | 56% 57941-44749 (102690) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $4.1 | — | -$4.1 | 65% 124925-66828 (191753) |
Invested
$34,054.08
Value
$34.1K
PnL
+$34.09
Record
59%
62167-43333 (105500)
Invested
$4,660.81
Value
$4.7K
PnL
+$27.19
Record
98%
6848-164 (7012)
Invested
$1,520.16
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$15.56
Record
58%
37772-27004 (64776)
Invested
$1,273.62
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$12.38
Record
93%
23242-1759 (25001)
Invested
$1,081.93
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$10.93
Record
89%
11942-1414 (13356)
Invested
$224.21
Value
$160
PnL
-$64.21
Record
51%
7416-7015 (14431)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
64%
40003-22867 (62870)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$63.4
Value
$55
PnL
+$0.65
Record
64%
58184-32863 (91047)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$22.84
Value
$29
PnL
+$6.16
Record
55%
44748-37210 (81958)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$16.42
Value
$17.7
PnL
+$1.28
Record
63%
51772-30494 (82266)
Invested
$16.83
Value
$17
PnL
+$0.17
Record
61%
94696-59644 (154340)
Invested
$5.8
Value
—
PnL
-$5.8
Record
64%
22856-12613 (35469)
Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
51%
20005-19176 (39181)
Invested
$8.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.7
Record
52%
90119-84595 (174714)
Invested
$3.05
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.95
Record
56%
57941-44749 (102690)
Invested
$4.1
Value
—
PnL
-$4.1
Record
65%
124925-66828 (191753)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $34.1K
Sharky6999
Down — $4.7K
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $1.5K
hoodquant
Down — $1.3K
Rock.San
Down — $1.1K
ply-pm2
Down — $160
ohioism
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $55
MayorMamdani
Down — $29
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $17.7