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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Resolved Up. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Up 27%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$291.57

Combined PnL

-$153.12

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 12 top traders (33%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders

Total Value$260.28

Total Shares260

Combined PnL-$74.32

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares289

Combined PnL-$78.8

Up — 33%Down — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2	Upavg 83.5¢	$313.58	$224.47	-$89.11	51% 7416-7015 (14431)
UpandDownSyndromeARB<$100	Upavg 84.5¢	$31.62	$31.29	-$0.33	63% 51772-30494 (82266)
└ Down leg	Downavg 4.8¢	$5.17	—	-$5.17
└ Up leg	Upavg 84.5¢	$26.45	$31.29	+$4.84
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 5.7¢	$5.04	—	-$5.04	58% 60444-44134 (104578)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 52.5¢	$26.34	—	-$26.34	64% 40003-22867 (62870)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 35.4¢	$17.7	—	-$17.7	64% 22856-12613 (35469)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 33¢	$9.42	$15.81	+$6.39	58% 37772-27004 (64776)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 14.1¢	$4.94	—	-$4.94	52% 90119-84595 (174714)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 58¢	$11.6	$20	+$8.4	65% 124925-66828 (191753)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 35.5¢	$8.99	—	-$8.99	61% 94696-59644 (154340)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 5.2¢	$1.3	—	-$1.3	55% 44748-37210 (81958)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 48.8¢	$9.11	—	-$9.11	66% 112049-58418 (170467)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Downavg 45.2¢	$5.39	—	-$5.39	64% 58184-32863 (91047)
DE devonpoll<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	51% 20005-19176 (39181)

Invested

$313.58

Value

$224.47

PnL

-$89.11

Record

51%

7416-7015 (14431)

UpandDownSyndromeARB<$100

Invested

$31.62

Value

$31.29

PnL

-$0.33

Record

63%

51772-30494 (82266)

Both legs:

Down$5.174.8¢-$5.17

Up$26.4584.5¢+$4.84

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$5.04

Value

—

PnL

-$5.04

Record

58%

60444-44134 (104578)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$26.34

Value

—

PnL

-$26.34

Record

64%

40003-22867 (62870)

Invested

$17.7

Value

—

PnL

-$17.7

Record

64%

22856-12613 (35469)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$9.42

Value

$15.81

PnL

+$6.39

Record

58%

37772-27004 (64776)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$4.94

Value

—

PnL

-$4.94

Record

52%

90119-84595 (174714)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$11.6

Value

$20

PnL

+$8.4

Record

65%

124925-66828 (191753)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$8.99

Value

—

PnL

-$8.99

Record

61%

94696-59644 (154340)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$1.3

Value

—

PnL

-$1.3

Record

55%

44748-37210 (81958)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$9.11

Value

—

PnL

-$9.11

Record

66%

112049-58418 (170467)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100

Invested

$5.39

Value

—

PnL

-$5.39

Record

64%

58184-32863 (91047)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

20005-19176 (39181)

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 12 top traders (33%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x4fc63162...35f3c2

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793330100

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Up — $224.47

UpandDownSyndrome

Arbitrage — excluded

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

ohioism

Down — $0

aaa221

Down — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $15.81

dvasdkasodk

Down — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $20

asidjasiodja

Down — $0

MayorMamdani

Down — $0

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