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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Up 58%

Total Value

$193.24

Combined PnL

$25.81

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 12 top traders (58%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders
Total Value$193.24
Total Shares193
Combined PnL+$76.19
Up7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares320
Combined PnL-$50.37
Down — 42%Up — 58%
wowitsamazing
Down

Invested

$49.86

Value

$107.47

PnL

+$57.61

Record

58%

12615-9290 (21905)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$37.75

Value

$49.63

PnL

+$11.87

Record

51%

7416-7015 (14431)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.88

Value

—

PnL

-$2.88

Record

59%

62167-43333 (105500)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$9.98

Value

$10.87

PnL

+$0.89

Record

55%

44748-37210 (81958)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$29.9

Value

—

PnL

-$29.9

Record

58%

37772-27004 (64776)

Polkadot-Frog<$100
Down

Invested

$16.51

Value

$15.28

PnL

+$8.09

Record

64%

58184-32863 (91047)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.01

Value

—

PnL

-$2.01

Record

56%

57941-44749 (102690)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$12.28

Value

$10

PnL

-$2.28

Record

52%

90119-84595 (174714)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$8.14

Value

—

PnL

-$8.14

Record

66%

112049-58418 (170467)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.52

Value

—

PnL

-$4.52

Record

61%

94696-59644 (154340)

DE
devonpollCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.5

Value

—

PnL

-$2.5

Record

51%

20005-19176 (39181)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.43

Value

—

PnL

-$0.43

Record

64%

22856-12613 (35469)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xb26fcf19...d1712e
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793329800

Traders in this Market

wowitsamazing

Down — $107.47

+$57.61
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $49.63

+$11.87
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.88

MayorMamdani

Down — $10.87

+$0.89
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Up — $0

-$29.9

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $15.28

+$8.09
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.01
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $10

-$2.28
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Up — $0

-$8.14
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Up — $0

-$4.52
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