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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$282.18

Combined PnL

-$82.06

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 10 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders
Total Value$182.36
Total Shares182
Combined PnL+$9.25
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares157
Combined PnL-$91.31
Up — 60%Down — 40%
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$145.05

Value

$99.82

PnL

-$45.23

Record

51%

7416-7015 (14431)

Both legs:

Down$110.2156.2¢-$110.21
Up$34.8434.9¢+$64.98
HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$155.79

Value

$158.13

PnL

+$2.34

Record

93%

23242-1759 (25001)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$51.71

Value

—

PnL

-$51.71

Record

61%

94696-59644 (154340)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.75

Value

—

PnL

-$1.75

Record

55%

44748-37210 (81958)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$34.14

Value

—

PnL

-$34.14

Record

64%

58184-32863 (91047)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$11.95

Value

$11.03

PnL

-$0.92

Record

52%

90119-84595 (174714)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.7

Value

—

PnL

-$3.7

Record

58%

37772-27004 (64776)

AN
antsaslyku<$100
Up

Invested

$4.26

Value

$8.19

PnL

+$3.93

Record

66%

112049-58418 (170467)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$4.15

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.85

Record

56%

57941-44749 (102690)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$15.82

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$3.05

Record

64%

22856-12613 (35469)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

20005-19176 (39181)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xb7bc8835...5e084e
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793329500

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$45.23
HO

hoodquant

Up — $158.13

+$2.34
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Down — $0

-$51.71

MayorMamdani

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.75

Polkadot-Frog

CTR

Down — $0

-$34.14
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $11.03

-$0.92
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.7
AN

antsaslyku

Up — $8.19

+$3.93
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $5

+$0.85
AA

aaa221

Up — $0.01

+$3.05
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