Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 70%
$745.59
$56.74
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 65.7Β’ | $316.56 | $335.55 | +$18.99 | 51% 7374-6993 (14367) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 52.2Β’ | $104.62 | $200.45 | +$95.83 | 34% 18735-35730 (54465) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 47.7Β’ | $80.2 | β | -$80.2 | 58% 37751-26971 (64722) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $89.1 | $90 | +$0.9 | 93% 23201-1758 (24959) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 72.1Β’ | $53.35 | $74 | +$20.65 | 56% 57906-44729 (102635) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 65.5Β’ | $44.39 | $19.29 | +$4.1 | 64% 58160-32830 (90990) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 94.7Β’ | $18.48 | $18.24 | -$0.24 | 61% 94646-59611 (154257) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 62Β’ | $5 | $8.06 | +$3.06 | 66% 112022-58386 (170408) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 48Β’ | $4.85 | β | -$4.85 | 64% 22780-12562 (35342) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 28.1Β’ | $1.5 | β | -$1.5 | 52% 90065-84555 (174620) |
Invested
$316.56
Value
$335.55
PnL
+$18.99
Record
51%
7374-6993 (14367)
Invested
$104.62
Value
$200.45
PnL
+$95.83
Record
34%
18735-35730 (54465)
Invested
$80.2
Value
β
PnL
-$80.2
Record
58%
37751-26971 (64722)
Invested
$89.1
Value
$90
PnL
+$0.9
Record
93%
23201-1758 (24959)
Invested
$53.35
Value
$74
PnL
+$20.65
Record
56%
57906-44729 (102635)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$44.39
Value
$19.29
PnL
+$4.1
Record
64%
58160-32830 (90990)
Invested
$18.48
Value
$18.24
PnL
-$0.24
Record
61%
94646-59611 (154257)
Invested
$5
Value
$8.06
PnL
+$3.06
Record
66%
112022-58386 (170408)
Invested
$4.85
Value
β
PnL
-$4.85
Record
64%
22780-12562 (35342)
Invested
$1.5
Value
β
PnL
-$1.5
Record
52%
90065-84555 (174620)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $335.55
Little-big
Down β $200.45
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
hoodquant
Down β $90
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down β $74

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $19.29
asidjasiodja
Down β $18.24
antsaslyku
Down β $8.06
aaa221
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp β $0