Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 80%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.8K

Combined PnL

$22.6

Down

4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down4 traders

Total Value$1.4K

Total Shares1,433

Combined PnL+$24.1

Up1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares12

Combined PnL-$1.5

Down — 80%Up — 20%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	+$13.44	93% 23201-1758 (24959)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 68.7¢	$337.13	$399.14	+$62.01	51% 7374-6993 (14367)
└ Down leg	Downavg 68.7¢	$274.03	$399.14	+$125.11
└ Up leg	Upavg 58.4¢	$63.1	—	-$63.1
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 74.2¢	$85.43	$71.66	+$5.83	64% 58160-32830 (90990)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 64.2¢	$30.13	$11.86	+$3.48	64% 22780-12562 (35342)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 13¢	$1.5	—	-$1.5	52% 90065-84555 (174620)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 49¢	$3.65	$5	+$1.35	61% 94646-59611 (154257)