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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Up 58%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$854.43

Combined PnL

$1.01

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 13 top traders (62%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders
Total Value$815.16
Total Shares815
Combined PnL+$104.99
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares178
Combined PnL-$103.98
Up — 62%Down — 38%
PL
ply-pm2
Up

Invested

$312.28

Value

$282.28

PnL

-$29.99

Record

51%

7374-6993 (14367)

HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$158.76

Value

$162

PnL

+$3.24

Record

93%

23201-1758 (24959)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up

Invested

$103.11

Value

$214.74

PnL

+$111.63

Record

58%

37751-26971 (64722)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$81.11

Value

$97.29

PnL

+$16.18

Record

56%

57906-44729 (102635)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$48.28

Value

$39.27

PnL

-$9.01

Record

58%

60418-44109 (104527)

Both legs:

Up$16.7342.6¢+$22.54
Down$31.5563¢-$31.55
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$40.68

Value

—

PnL

-$40.68

Record

64%

58160-32830 (90990)

BoneOhioCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$27.51

Value

—

PnL

-$27.51

Record

74%

102400-36373 (138773)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$18.95

Value

—

PnL

-$18.95

Record

61%

94646-59611 (154257)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$29.91

Value

$24.88

PnL

-$5.03

Record

64%

39977-22851 (62828)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$17.19

Value

$21.96

PnL

+$4.77

Record

64%

22780-12562 (35342)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$10.25

Value

—

PnL

-$10.25

Record

52%

90065-84555 (174620)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$6.59

Value

—

PnL

-$6.59

Record

63%

51732-30464 (82196)

WZ
wzbbb<$100
Up

Invested

$7.81

Value

$12

PnL

+$4.19

Record

57%

7773-5955 (13728)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19993-19160 (39153)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x1e9c6c12...d9d790
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793327100

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

Up — $282.28

-$29.99
HO

hoodquant

Up — $162

+$3.24
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $214.74

+$111.63
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $97.29

+$16.18
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$9.01

Polkadot-Frog

CTR

Down — $0

-$40.68

BoneOhio

CTR

Down — $0

-$27.51
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Down — $0

-$18.95

ohioism

Up — $24.88

-$5.03
AA

aaa221

Up — $21.96

+$4.77
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