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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 50%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$381.58

Combined PnL

-$27.29

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares292

Combined PnL-$32.01

Up5 traders

Total Value$256.02

Total Shares256

Combined PnL+$4.71

Down — 44%Up — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Downavg 2.4¢	$5.57	—	-$5.57	59% 62165-43330 (105495)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 64¢	$122.92	$75.64	-$47.29	51% 7374-6993 (14367)
└ Down leg	Downavg 64¢	$92.65	—	-$92.65
└ Up leg	Upavg 40¢	$30.28	$75.64	+$45.36
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.7¢	$158.52	$160.63	+$2.11	93% 23201-1758 (24959)
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100	Downavg 57¢	$41.79	$49.92	+$8.13	64% 58160-32830 (90990)
└ Up leg	Upavg 38¢	$18.99	$49.92	+$30.93
└ Down leg	Downavg 57¢	$22.8	—	-$22.8
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 87.9¢	$69.88	$42.1	-$11.76	64% 22780-12562 (35342)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 36.2¢	$14.32	—	-$14.32	61% 94646-59611 (154257)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 68.9¢	$25.02	$36.29	+$11.27	58% 60418-44109 (104527)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 54¢	$10.8	—	-$10.8	55% 44709-37178 (81887)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 81.8¢	$13.9	$17	+$3.1	56% 57906-44729 (102635)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 14¢	$1.32	—	-$1.32	52% 90065-84555 (174620)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 27¢	—	—	+$0	51% 19993-19160 (39153)

Invested

$5.57

Value

—

PnL

-$5.57

Record

59%

62165-43330 (105495)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$122.92

Value

$75.64

PnL

-$47.29

Record

51%

7374-6993 (14367)

Both legs:

Down$92.6564¢-$92.65

Up$30.2840¢+$45.36

Invested

$158.52

Value

$160.63

PnL

+$2.11

Record

93%

23201-1758 (24959)

Polkadot-FrogARB<$100

Invested

$41.79

Value

$49.92

PnL

+$8.13

Record

64%

58160-32830 (90990)

Both legs:

Up$18.9938¢+$30.93

Down$22.857¢-$22.8

Invested

$69.88

Value

$42.1

PnL

-$11.76

Record

64%

22780-12562 (35342)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$14.32

Value

—

PnL

-$14.32

Record

61%

94646-59611 (154257)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$25.02

Value

$36.29

PnL

+$11.27

Record

58%

60418-44109 (104527)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$10.8

Value

—

PnL

-$10.8

Record

55%

44709-37178 (81887)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$13.9

Value

$17

PnL

+$3.1

Record

56%

57906-44729 (102635)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.32

Value

—

PnL

-$1.32

Record

52%

90065-84555 (174620)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19993-19160 (39153)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xfc9efac3...bafbec

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793326800

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

hoodquant

Up — $160.63

Polkadot-Frog

Arbitrage — excluded

aaa221

Up — $42.1

asidjasiodja

Down — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $36.29

MayorMamdani

Down — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $17

dvasdkasodk

Down — $0

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