Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 79%
1 arb excluded
$1.2K
-$30.29
Smart Money Signal
11 of 15 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Downavg 95.4¢ | $425.32 | $446 | +$20.68 | 48% 23233-25499 (48732) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 92.5¢ | $164.81 | $175.82 | +$11.01 | 55% 44709-37178 (81887) |
AS asidjasiodja | Downavg 89.4¢ | $108.49 | $113.45 | +$4.96 | 61% 94646-59611 (154257) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 89.7¢ | $150.5 | $94 | +$3.6 | 64% 58160-32830 (90990) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 88.7¢ | $94.97 | $107.13 | +$12.15 | 74% 102400-36373 (138773) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $70.58 | $74.08 | +$3.5 | 56% 57906-44729 (102635) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 17.6¢ | $70.28 | $33.13 | -$37.16 | 51% 7374-6993 (14367) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 17.6¢ | $50.97 | — | -$50.97 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 58.3¢ | $19.31 | $33.13 | +$13.81 | |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 43.9¢ | $49.75 | — | -$49.75 | 58% 12603-9272 (21875) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $57.42 | $58 | +$0.58 | 93% 23201-1758 (24959) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.7¢ | $23.76 | — | -$23.76 | 63% 51732-30464 (82196) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 83.1¢ | $49.31 | $38.85 | +$1.61 | 64% 22780-12562 (35342) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 12.4¢ | $22.7 | — | -$22.7 | 58% 37751-26971 (64722) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $22.8 | $24 | +$1.2 | 64% 39977-22851 (62828) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 75.9¢ | $13.31 | $17.53 | +$4.22 | 52% 90065-84555 (174620) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $2.6 | $5 | +$2.4 | 58% 60418-44109 (104527) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19993-19160 (39153) |
Invested
$425.32
Value
$446
PnL
+$20.68
Record
48%
23233-25499 (48732)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$164.81
Value
$175.82
PnL
+$11.01
Record
55%
44709-37178 (81887)
Invested
$108.49
Value
$113.45
PnL
+$4.96
Record
61%
94646-59611 (154257)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$150.5
Value
$94
PnL
+$3.6
Record
64%
58160-32830 (90990)
BoneOhioInvested
$94.97
Value
$107.13
PnL
+$12.15
Record
74%
102400-36373 (138773)
Invested
$70.58
Value
$74.08
PnL
+$3.5
Record
56%
57906-44729 (102635)
Invested
$70.28
Value
$33.13
PnL
-$37.16
Record
51%
7374-6993 (14367)
Both legs:
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$49.75
Value
—
PnL
-$49.75
Record
58%
12603-9272 (21875)
Invested
$57.42
Value
$58
PnL
+$0.58
Record
93%
23201-1758 (24959)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$23.76
Value
—
PnL
-$23.76
Record
63%
51732-30464 (82196)
Invested
$49.31
Value
$38.85
PnL
+$1.61
Record
64%
22780-12562 (35342)
Invested
$22.7
Value
—
PnL
-$22.7
Record
58%
37751-26971 (64722)
ohioism<$100Invested
$22.8
Value
$24
PnL
+$1.2
Record
64%
39977-22851 (62828)
Invested
$13.31
Value
$17.53
PnL
+$4.22
Record
52%
90065-84555 (174620)
Invested
$2.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.4
Record
58%
60418-44109 (104527)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19993-19160 (39153)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Down — $446
MayorMamdani
Down — $175.82
asidjasiodja
Down — $113.45
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $94
BoneOhio
Down — $107.13
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $74.08
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
wowitsamazing
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $58
UpandDownSyndrome
CTRUp — $0