Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 56%
$337.54
$23.48
Smart Money Signal
7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.7¢ | $202.68 | $205.41 | +$2.73 | 93% 23157-1756 (24913) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $67.2 | $80 | +$12.8 | 51% 7342-6974 (14316) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 94.1¢ | $26.78 | $27.13 | +$0.35 | 61% 94613-59581 (154194) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $11.6 | $20 | +$8.4 | 34% 18719-35716 (54435) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $4.7 | $5 | +$0.3 | 52% 90032-84524 (174556) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 57% 7763-5950 (13713) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 51% 19978-19143 (39121) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.2¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 55% 44682-37145 (81827) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.1¢ | $0.84 | — | -$0.84 | 59% 62163-43312 (105475) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $11.55 | — | +$3.7 | 64% 22724-12523 (35247) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 64% 58129-32808 (90937) |
Invested
$202.68
Value
$205.41
PnL
+$2.73
Record
93%
23157-1756 (24913)
Invested
$67.2
Value
$80
PnL
+$12.8
Record
51%
7342-6974 (14316)
Invested
$26.78
Value
$27.13
PnL
+$0.35
Record
61%
94613-59581 (154194)
Invested
$11.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$8.4
Record
34%
18719-35716 (54435)
Invested
$4.7
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.3
Record
52%
90032-84524 (174556)
Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
57%
7763-5950 (13713)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
51%
19978-19143 (39121)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
55%
44682-37145 (81827)
Invested
$0.84
Value
—
PnL
-$0.84
Record
59%
62163-43312 (105475)
Invested
$11.55
Value
—
PnL
+$3.7
Record
64%
22724-12523 (35247)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
58129-32808 (90937)
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