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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Up 62%

Total Value

$233.9

Combined PnL

-$31.51

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 13 top traders (62%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares323
Combined PnL-$80.08
Down5 traders
Total Value$233.9
Total Shares234
Combined PnL+$48.57
Up — 62%Down — 38%
LI
Little-bigCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$54.3

Value

—

PnL

-$54.3

Record

34%

18719-35716 (54435)

PL
ply-pm2
Down

Invested

$77.39

Value

$102.76

PnL

+$25.36

Record

51%

7342-6974 (14316)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$52.43

Value

$45

PnL

-$7.43

Record

55%

44682-37145 (81827)

WZ
wzbbb<$100
Down

Invested

$24.79

Value

$37

PnL

+$12.21

Record

57%

7763-5950 (13713)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Down

Invested

$19.16

Value

$36.15

PnL

+$16.99

Record

58%

37728-26945 (64673)

BoneOhio<$100
Down

Invested

$11.57

Value

$13

PnL

+$1.43

Record

74%

102386-36369 (138755)

PB
PBot-6CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.9

Value

—

PnL

-$4.9

Record

58%

50939-37072 (88011)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.03

Value

—

PnL

-$5.03

Record

56%

57878-44713 (102591)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.16

Value

—

PnL

-$3.16

Record

61%

94613-59581 (154194)

DE
devonpollCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.6

Value

—

PnL

-$2.6

Record

51%

19978-19143 (39121)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.15

Value

—

PnL

-$5.15

Record

64%

22724-12523 (35247)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.14

Value

—

PnL

-$3.14

Record

63%

51715-30440 (82155)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.8

Value

—

PnL

-$1.8

Record

52%

90032-84524 (174556)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x94eb2ae0...96fcca
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793321700

Traders in this Market

LI

Little-big

CTR

Up — $0

-$54.3
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $102.76

+$25.36

MayorMamdani

Down — $45

-$7.43
WZ

wzbbb

Down — $37

+$12.21
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $36.15

+$16.99

BoneOhio

Down — $13

+$1.43
PB

PBot-6

CTR

Up — $0

-$4.9
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

CTR

Up — $0

-$5.03
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Up — $0

-$3.16
DE

devonpoll

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.6
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