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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 60%

Total Value

$486.27

Combined PnL

-$438.79

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$486.27

Total Shares486

Combined PnL-$46.27

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares447

Combined PnL-$392.53

Up — 64%Down — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2	Upavg 78.5¢	$441.94	$362.91	-$79.03	51% 7342-6974 (14316)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Downavg 71.1¢	$179.13	—	-$179.13	58% 37728-26945 (64673)
Polkadot-FrogCTR	Downavg 67.1¢	$172.65	—	-$159.9	64% 58129-32808 (90937)
BoneOhioCTR<$100	Downavg 72.6¢	$42.39	—	-$42.39	74% 102386-36369 (138755)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 35.1¢	$21.96	$56	+$34.04	55% 44682-37145 (81827)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Upavg 92.5¢	$33.11	$20	-$13.11	63% 51715-30440 (82155)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 48¢	$18.86	$21.59	+$2.73	56% 57878-44713 (102591)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 74¢	$11.1	—	-$11.1	64% 39962-22836 (62798)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 49.2¢	$15.04	$13.77	+$0.82	64% 22724-12523 (35247)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 31¢	$3.72	$12	+$8.28	58% 60398-44091 (104489)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 40¢	—	—	+$0	51% 19978-19143 (39121)

Invested

$441.94

Value

$362.91

PnL

-$79.03

Record

51%

7342-6974 (14316)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Invested

$179.13

Value

—

PnL

-$179.13

Record

58%

37728-26945 (64673)

Polkadot-FrogCTR

Invested

$172.65

Value

—

PnL

-$159.9

Record

64%

58129-32808 (90937)

BoneOhioCTR<$100

Invested

$42.39

Value

—

PnL

-$42.39

Record

74%

102386-36369 (138755)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$21.96

Value

$56

PnL

+$34.04

Record

55%

44682-37145 (81827)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$33.11

Value

$20

PnL

-$13.11

Record

63%

51715-30440 (82155)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$18.86

Value

$21.59

PnL

+$2.73

Record

56%

57878-44713 (102591)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$11.1

Value

—

PnL

-$11.1

Record

64%

39962-22836 (62798)

Invested

$15.04

Value

$13.77

PnL

+$0.82

Record

64%

22724-12523 (35247)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$3.72

Value

$12

PnL

+$8.28

Record

58%

60398-44091 (104489)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19978-19143 (39121)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x5c0e40e4...4d974d

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793321100

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Up — $362.91

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $0

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $0

BoneOhio

Down — $0

MayorMamdani

Up — $56

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $20

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $21.59

ohioism

Down — $0

aaa221

Up — $13.77

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $12

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