Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Down 67%
$1.6K
$115.51
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$11.71 | 93% 23157-1756 (24913) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 72.4Β’ | $145.2 | $171.25 | +$26.05 | 51% 7342-6974 (14316) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 47.8Β’ | $94.22 | $197.27 | +$103.05 | 58% 37728-26945 (64673) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 96Β’ | $48.08 | $50.08 | +$2 | 64% 39962-22836 (62798) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $12.43 | β | -$12.43 | 59% 62163-43312 (105475) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 72.5Β’ | $34.8 | $48 | +$13.2 | 56% 57878-44713 (102591) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 42Β’ | $25.81 | β | -$25.81 | 64% 58129-32808 (90937) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 83.6Β’ | $16.42 | $17.29 | +$0.87 | 55% 44682-37145 (81827) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.8Β’ | $3.15 | β | -$3.15 | 61% 94613-59581 (154194) |
Invested
$1,153.96
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$11.71
Record
93%
23157-1756 (24913)
Invested
$145.2
Value
$171.25
PnL
+$26.05
Record
51%
7342-6974 (14316)
Invested
$94.22
Value
$197.27
PnL
+$103.05
Record
58%
37728-26945 (64673)
ohioism<$100Invested
$48.08
Value
$50.08
PnL
+$2
Record
64%
39962-22836 (62798)
Invested
$12.43
Value
β
PnL
-$12.43
Record
59%
62163-43312 (105475)
Invested
$34.8
Value
$48
PnL
+$13.2
Record
56%
57878-44713 (102591)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$25.81
Value
β
PnL
-$25.81
Record
64%
58129-32808 (90937)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$16.42
Value
$17.29
PnL
+$0.87
Record
55%
44682-37145 (81827)
Invested
$3.15
Value
β
PnL
-$3.15
Record
61%
94613-59581 (154194)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $1.2K
ply-pm2
Down β $171.25
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $197.27

ohioism
Down β $50.08
0x50f7
CTRUp β $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down β $48

Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp β $0

MayorMamdani
Down β $17.29
asidjasiodja
CTRUp β $0