Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
15
Down 57%
$1.1K
-$100.65
Smart Money Signal
8 of 15 top traders (53%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.5Β’ | $653.37 | $663 | +$9.63 | 93% 23157-1756 (24913) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 87.7Β’ | $139.1 | $152.7 | +$13.6 | 66% 99072-51320 (150392) |
![]() MayorMamdani | Downavg 90.4Β’ | $109.03 | $118.73 | +$9.7 | 55% 44682-37145 (81827) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 36.3Β’ | $69.17 | β | -$69.17 | 51% 7342-6974 (14316) |
![]() wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 47.5Β’ | $49.55 | β | -$49.55 | 58% 12586-9256 (21842) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 86.5Β’ | $50.13 | $53.44 | +$3.31 | 61% 94613-59581 (154194) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 97Β’ | $49.28 | $50.8 | +$1.52 | 74% 102386-36369 (138755) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 91.4Β’ | $56.16 | $39.11 | +$2.65 | 64% 58129-32808 (90937) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 52Β’ | $20.33 | β | -$20.33 | 58% 37728-26945 (64673) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $3 | β | -$3 | 48% 23230-25485 (48715) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 90.4Β’ | $10.17 | $11.25 | +$1.08 | 52% 90032-84524 (174556) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 80.9Β’ | $47.38 | $5 | +$9.14 | 64% 22724-12523 (35247) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 10Β’ | $2.51 | β | -$2.51 | 56% 57878-44713 (102591) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.3Β’ | $6.71 | β | -$6.71 | 63% 51715-30440 (82155) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19978-19143 (39121) |
Invested
$653.37
Value
$663
PnL
+$9.63
Record
93%
23157-1756 (24913)
Invested
$139.1
Value
$152.7
PnL
+$13.6
Record
66%
99072-51320 (150392)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$109.03
Value
$118.73
PnL
+$9.7
Record
55%
44682-37145 (81827)
Invested
$69.17
Value
β
PnL
-$69.17
Record
51%
7342-6974 (14316)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$49.55
Value
β
PnL
-$49.55
Record
58%
12586-9256 (21842)
Invested
$50.13
Value
$53.44
PnL
+$3.31
Record
61%
94613-59581 (154194)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$49.28
Value
$50.8
PnL
+$1.52
Record
74%
102386-36369 (138755)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$56.16
Value
$39.11
PnL
+$2.65
Record
64%
58129-32808 (90937)
Invested
$20.33
Value
β
PnL
-$20.33
Record
58%
37728-26945 (64673)
Invested
$3
Value
β
PnL
-$3
Record
48%
23230-25485 (48715)
Invested
$10.17
Value
$11.25
PnL
+$1.08
Record
52%
90032-84524 (174556)
Invested
$47.38
Value
$5
PnL
+$9.14
Record
64%
22724-12523 (35247)
Invested
$2.51
Value
β
PnL
-$2.51
Record
56%
57878-44713 (102591)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$6.71
Value
β
PnL
-$6.71
Record
63%
51715-30440 (82155)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19978-19143 (39121)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $663
Bonereaper
Down β $152.7

MayorMamdani
Down β $118.73
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0

wowitsamazing
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
Down β $53.44

BoneOhio
Down β $50.8

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $39.11
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRUp β $0