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DownDownUp
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100UpDownUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$39.8
Combined PnL
-$17.19
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$39.8
Total Shares40
Combined PnL+$4.16
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares359
Combined PnL-$21.35
Down — 43%Up — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 68.6¢ | $22.35 | $25 | +$2.65 | 51% 7317-6947 (14264) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $11.39 | $12.8 | +$1.41 | 56% 57846-44687 (102533) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $1.9 | — | -$1.9 | 51% 19969-19125 (39094) |
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $14.45 | — | -$9.46 | 64% 58097-32792 (90889) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $1.9 | $2 | +$0.1 | 64% 22669-12483 (35152) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $5.99 | — | -$5.99 | 48% 23215-25459 (48674) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.9¢ | $4.01 | — | -$4.01 | 55% 44647-37116 (81763) |
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$22.35
Value
$25
PnL
+$2.65
Record
51%
7317-6947 (14264)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100Invested
$11.39
Value
$12.8
PnL
+$1.41
Record
56%
57846-44687 (102533)
DE
devonpollCTR<$100Invested
$1.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
51%
19969-19125 (39094)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$14.45
Value
—
PnL
-$9.46
Record
64%
58097-32792 (90889)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$1.9
Value
$2
PnL
+$0.1
Record
64%
22669-12483 (35152)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$5.99
Value
—
PnL
-$5.99
Record
48%
23215-25459 (48674)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.01
Value
—
PnL
-$4.01
Record
55%
44647-37116 (81763)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1a1f066f...ca5847
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793316900