Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 86%
$314.34
$55.31
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 58.3¢ | $135.21 | $182.91 | +$47.7 | 51% 7317-6947 (14264) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 71.3¢ | $65.51 | $60.25 | -$1.21 | 64% 58097-32792 (90889) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 77.5¢ | $39.94 | $51.51 | +$11.57 | 64% 22669-12483 (35152) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 11.3¢ | $5.58 | — | -$5.58 | 55% 44647-37116 (81763) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $7.18 | $6 | -$1.18 | 61% 94573-59553 (154126) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $4.4 | $5.16 | +$0.76 | 52% 89996-84488 (174484) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $5.27 | $8.5 | +$3.23 | 74% 102371-36367 (138738) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19969-19125 (39094) |
Invested
$135.21
Value
$182.91
PnL
+$47.7
Record
51%
7317-6947 (14264)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$65.51
Value
$60.25
PnL
-$1.21
Record
64%
58097-32792 (90889)
Invested
$39.94
Value
$51.51
PnL
+$11.57
Record
64%
22669-12483 (35152)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.58
Value
—
PnL
-$5.58
Record
55%
44647-37116 (81763)
Invested
$7.18
Value
$6
PnL
-$1.18
Record
61%
94573-59553 (154126)
Invested
$4.4
Value
$5.16
PnL
+$0.76
Record
52%
89996-84488 (174484)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$5.27
Value
$8.5
PnL
+$3.23
Record
74%
102371-36367 (138738)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19969-19125 (39094)
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