Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Up 56%
3 arb excluded
$857.18
-$571.27
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $736.89 | $382.33 | -$354.56 | 93% 23128-1756 (24884) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 42.7¢ | $184.99 | $223.38 | +$38.4 | 51% 7317-6947 (14264) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 42.7¢ | $95.46 | $223.38 | +$127.92 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 34.5¢ | $89.53 | — | -$89.53 | |
 UpandDownSyndromeARB<$100 | Upavg 22.2¢ | $34.78 | $135.46 | +$100.68 | 63% 51691-30414 (82105) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 22.2¢ | $30.05 | $135.46 | +$105.41 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 3.2¢ | $4.73 | — | -$4.73 | |
 BoneOhioCTR | Downavg 91.2¢ | $183.93 | — | -$183.93 | 74% 102371-36367 (138738) |
 MayorMamdaniARB<$100 | Upavg 5.1¢ | $4.48 | $44.79 | +$40.31 | 55% 44647-37116 (81763) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 2.2¢ | $2.21 | — | -$2.21 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 5.1¢ | $2.27 | $44.79 | +$42.52 | |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 53.6¢ | $48.91 | — | -$43.96 | 64% 58097-32792 (90889) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 85.1¢ | $23.97 | — | -$23.97 | 61% 94573-59553 (154126) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $6.14 | $36.14 | +$30 | 64% 39932-22817 (62749) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $11.17 | $22.33 | +$11.17 | 58% 60375-44067 (104442) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $32.11 | — | -$17.23 | 64% 22669-12483 (35152) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $1.47 | $7.74 | +$6.27 | 52% 89996-84488 (174484) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | $5 | +$4.95 | 66% 111990-58338 (170328) |
Invested
$736.89
Value
$382.33
PnL
-$354.56
Record
93%
23128-1756 (24884)
Invested
$184.99
Value
$223.38
PnL
+$38.4
Record
51%
7317-6947 (14264)
Both legs:
UpandDownSyndromeARB<$100Invested
$34.78
Value
$135.46
PnL
+$100.68
Record
63%
51691-30414 (82105)
Both legs:
BoneOhioCTRInvested
$183.93
Value
—
PnL
-$183.93
Record
74%
102371-36367 (138738)
MayorMamdaniARB<$100Invested
$4.48
Value
$44.79
PnL
+$40.31
Record
55%
44647-37116 (81763)
Both legs:
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$48.91
Value
—
PnL
-$43.96
Record
64%
58097-32792 (90889)
Invested
$23.97
Value
—
PnL
-$23.97
Record
61%
94573-59553 (154126)
ohioism<$100Invested
$6.14
Value
$36.14
PnL
+$30
Record
64%
39932-22817 (62749)
Invested
$11.17
Value
$22.33
PnL
+$11.17
Record
58%
60375-44067 (104442)
Invested
$32.11
Value
—
PnL
-$17.23
Record
64%
22669-12483 (35152)
Invested
$1.47
Value
$7.74
PnL
+$6.27
Record
52%
89996-84488 (174484)
Invested
$0.05
Value
$5
PnL
+$4.95
Record
66%
111990-58338 (170328)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $382.33
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
UpandDownSyndrome
ARBArbitrage — excluded
BoneOhio
CTRDown — $0
MayorMamdani
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
asidjasiodja
CTRDown — $0
ohioism
Up — $36.14
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $22.33
aaa221
CTRDown — $0