Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 63%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$370.16

Combined PnL

-$75.76

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$271.16

Total Shares271

Combined PnL+$63.6

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares255

Combined PnL-$139.36

Up — 63%Down — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 44.5¢	$120.04	$99	-$21.04	51% 7317-6947 (14264)
└ Up leg	Upavg 39.2¢	$38.85	$99	+$60.15
└ Down leg	Downavg 44.5¢	$81.19	—	-$81.19
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.6¢	$114.98	$116.63	+$1.65	93% 23128-1756 (24884)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 64.6¢	$60.37	$59.4	-$0.97	64% 22669-12483 (35152)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Downavg 53.3¢	$114.54	—	-$114.54	58% 37705-26921 (64626)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 25¢	$12.77	$50.08	+$37.31	56% 57846-44687 (102533)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 25.7¢	$7.92	$30.77	+$22.86	58% 60375-44067 (104442)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Downavg 42.1¢	$19.27	—	-$19.27	64% 58097-32792 (90889)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 42.5¢	$11.52	$14.28	+$2.76	61% 94573-59553 (154126)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 33.8¢	$5.55	—	-$5.55	52% 89996-84488 (174484)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$120.04

Value

$99

PnL

-$21.04

Record

51%

7317-6947 (14264)

Both legs:

Up$38.8539.2¢+$60.15

Down$81.1944.5¢-$81.19

Invested

$114.98

Value

$116.63

PnL

+$1.65

Record

93%

23128-1756 (24884)

Invested

$60.37

Value

$59.4

PnL

-$0.97

Record

64%

22669-12483 (35152)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Invested

$114.54

Value

—

PnL

-$114.54

Record

58%

37705-26921 (64626)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$12.77

Value

$50.08

PnL

+$37.31

Record

56%

57846-44687 (102533)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$7.92

Value

$30.77

PnL

+$22.86

Record

58%

60375-44067 (104442)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100

Invested

$19.27

Value

—

PnL

-$19.27

Record

64%

58097-32792 (90889)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$11.52

Value

$14.28

PnL

+$2.76

Record

61%

94573-59553 (154126)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$5.55

Value

—

PnL

-$5.55

Record

52%

89996-84488 (174484)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID

0x69b576a3...7922d2

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793315400

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

hoodquant

Up — $116.63

aaa221

Up — $59.4

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $50.08

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $30.77

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $0

asidjasiodja

Up — $14.28

dvasdkasodk

Down — $0

Trade on Polymarket