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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$453.56

Combined PnL

-$12.35

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 9 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$378.56

Total Shares379

Combined PnL-$0.69

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares139

Combined PnL-$11.65

Up — 67%Down — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2	Upavg 63.3¢	$363.41	$325.37	-$38.04	51% 7317-6947 (14264)
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100	Upavg 60.1¢	$82.9	$75	-$7.9	64% 58097-32792 (90889)
└ Down leg	Downavg 42.2¢	$37.85	—	-$37.85
└ Up leg	Upavg 60.1¢	$45.05	$75	+$29.95
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 27¢	$8.6	$18.67	+$10.07	61% 94573-59553 (154126)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 30¢	$5.77	$15.81	+$10.04	55% 44647-37116 (81763)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Downavg 4.7¢	$10.29	—	-$10.29	63% 51691-30414 (82105)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 25¢	$5.6	$12.4	+$14.6	51% 19969-19125 (39094)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 50¢	$2.5	$5	+$2.5	56% 57846-44687 (102533)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 89¢	$1.17	$1.32	+$0.15	64% 39932-22817 (62749)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 73¢	$0.16	—	-$0.16	64% 22669-12483 (35152)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 10¢	$1.2	—	-$1.2	52% 89996-84488 (174484)

Invested

$363.41

Value

$325.37

PnL

-$38.04

Record

51%

7317-6947 (14264)

Polkadot-FrogARB<$100

Invested

$82.9

Value

$75

PnL

-$7.9

Record

64%

58097-32792 (90889)

Both legs:

Down$37.8542.2¢-$37.85

Up$45.0560.1¢+$29.95

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$8.6

Value

$18.67

PnL

+$10.07

Record

61%

94573-59553 (154126)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$5.77

Value

$15.81

PnL

+$10.04

Record

55%

44647-37116 (81763)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100

Invested

$10.29

Value

—

PnL

-$10.29

Record

63%

51691-30414 (82105)

Invested

$5.6

Value

$12.4

PnL

+$14.6

Record

51%

19969-19125 (39094)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$2.5

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.5

Record

56%

57846-44687 (102533)

Invested

$1.17

Value

$1.32

PnL

+$0.15

Record

64%

39932-22817 (62749)

Invested

$0.16

Value

—

PnL

-$0.16

Record

64%

22669-12483 (35152)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

52%

89996-84488 (174484)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 9 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x168ed1fb...66e880

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793314500

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Up — $325.37

Polkadot-Frog

Arbitrage — excluded

asidjasiodja

Up — $18.67

MayorMamdani

Up — $15.81

UpandDownSyndrome

Down — $0

devonpoll

Up — $12.4

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $5

ohioism

Up — $1.32

aaa221

Down — $0

dvasdkasodk

Down — $0

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