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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Up β€” but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 63%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$179.03

Combined PnL

-$46.76

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 9 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down3 traders
Total Value$61.33
Total Shares61
Combined PnL+$3.49
Up6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares102
Combined PnL-$50.25
Down β€” 33%Up β€” 67%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xd76dd277...32c41e
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793305800
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