Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 80%
1 arb excluded
$446.82
$15.06
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 62.1¢ | $159.82 | $153.04 | -$6.77 | 51% 7310-6941 (14251) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 35.3¢ | $64.78 | — | -$64.78 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 62.1¢ | $95.04 | $153.04 | +$58 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 77.5¢ | $60.71 | $60 | -$0.71 | 64% 22658-12474 (35132) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 58.2¢ | $43.14 | $47.99 | +$4.84 | 64% 57982-32684 (90666) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 90.9¢ | $60.97 | $67.08 | +$6.11 | 64% 39931-22816 (62747) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $22.7 | $20 | -$2.7 | 54% 10751-9194 (19945) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $58.8 | $60 | +$1.2 | 93% 23125-1755 (24880) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 46.6¢ | $16.37 | $19.72 | +$3.35 | 61% 94572-59547 (154119) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 55% 44643-37114 (81757) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $10.08 | $14 | +$3.92 | 62% 43713-26708 (70421) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $3.95 | $5 | +$1.05 | 52% 89994-84473 (174467) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 58% 37704-26918 (64622) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19968-19120 (39088) |
Invested
$159.82
Value
$153.04
PnL
-$6.77
Record
51%
7310-6941 (14251)
Both legs:
Invested
$60.71
Value
$60
PnL
-$0.71
Record
64%
22658-12474 (35132)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$43.14
Value
$47.99
PnL
+$4.84
Record
64%
57982-32684 (90666)
ohioism<$100Invested
$60.97
Value
$67.08
PnL
+$6.11
Record
64%
39931-22816 (62747)
Invested
$22.7
Value
$20
PnL
-$2.7
Record
54%
10751-9194 (19945)
Invested
$58.8
Value
$60
PnL
+$1.2
Record
93%
23125-1755 (24880)
Invested
$16.37
Value
$19.72
PnL
+$3.35
Record
61%
94572-59547 (154119)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
55%
44643-37114 (81757)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$10.08
Value
$14
PnL
+$3.92
Record
62%
43713-26708 (70421)
Invested
$3.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.05
Record
52%
89994-84473 (174467)
Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
58%
37704-26918 (64622)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19968-19120 (39088)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.