Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Up 42%
4 arb excluded
$1.1K
$66.1
Smart Money Signal
6 of 13 top traders (46%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 38.8¢ | $320.6 | $415.51 | +$94.92 | 51% 7310-6941 (14251) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 38.8¢ | $189.67 | — | -$189.67 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 31.5¢ | $130.92 | $415.51 | +$284.59 | |
AS asidjasiodjaARB<$100 | Downavg 6.8¢ | $25.78 | $58.28 | +$32.5 | 61% 94572-59547 (154119) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 6.8¢ | $14.71 | — | -$14.71 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 19¢ | $11.07 | $58.28 | +$47.21 | |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 65.1¢ | $109.1 | $153.62 | +$44.52 | 58% 37704-26918 (64622) |
 UpandDownSyndromeARB<$100 | Downavg 56.2¢ | $74.42 | $43.65 | -$30.77 | 63% 51684-30413 (82097) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 56.2¢ | $66.29 | — | -$66.29 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 18.6¢ | $8.13 | $43.65 | +$35.52 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $149.44 | $150.95 | +$1.51 | 93% 23125-1755 (24880) |
 wowitsamazing | Upavg 36.2¢ | $49.67 | $137.03 | +$87.36 | 58% 12577-9241 (21818) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.1¢ | $9.43 | — | -$9.43 | 52% 89994-84473 (174467) |
 Polkadot-FrogARB<$100 | Downavg 58.1¢ | $49.06 | $44.99 | -$4.07 | 64% 57982-32684 (90666) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 54.3¢ | $24.45 | $44.99 | +$20.55 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 58.1¢ | $24.61 | — | -$24.61 | |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 86.6¢ | $52.02 | $50.18 | -$1.84 | 64% 39931-22816 (62747) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 59.1¢ | $32.52 | — | -$32.52 | 64% 22658-12474 (35132) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 8.3¢ | $3.36 | — | -$3.36 | 46% 38107-44997 (83104) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 48.6¢ | $16.71 | — | -$16.71 | 66% 98941-51224 (150165) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $10.88 | $32 | +$21.12 | 34% 18700-35695 (54395) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $16.3 | — | -$16.3 | 58% 60375-44064 (104439) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $4.8 | — | -$4.8 | 55% 44643-37114 (81757) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 34.5¢ | $3.44 | — | -$3.44 | 56% 57842-44686 (102528) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19968-19120 (39088) |
Invested
$320.6
Value
$415.51
PnL
+$94.92
Record
51%
7310-6941 (14251)
Both legs:
Invested
$25.78
Value
$58.28
PnL
+$32.5
Record
61%
94572-59547 (154119)
Both legs:
Invested
$109.1
Value
$153.62
PnL
+$44.52
Record
58%
37704-26918 (64622)
UpandDownSyndromeARB<$100Invested
$74.42
Value
$43.65
PnL
-$30.77
Record
63%
51684-30413 (82097)
Both legs:
Invested
$149.44
Value
$150.95
PnL
+$1.51
Record
93%
23125-1755 (24880)
wowitsamazingInvested
$49.67
Value
$137.03
PnL
+$87.36
Record
58%
12577-9241 (21818)
Invested
$9.43
Value
—
PnL
-$9.43
Record
52%
89994-84473 (174467)
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100Invested
$49.06
Value
$44.99
PnL
-$4.07
Record
64%
57982-32684 (90666)
Both legs:
ohioism<$100Invested
$52.02
Value
$50.18
PnL
-$1.84
Record
64%
39931-22816 (62747)
Invested
$32.52
Value
—
PnL
-$32.52
Record
64%
22658-12474 (35132)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$3.36
Value
—
PnL
-$3.36
Record
46%
38107-44997 (83104)
Invested
$16.71
Value
—
PnL
-$16.71
Record
66%
98941-51224 (150165)
Invested
$10.88
Value
$32
PnL
+$21.12
Record
34%
18700-35695 (54395)
Invested
$16.3
Value
—
PnL
-$16.3
Record
58%
60375-44064 (104439)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
—
PnL
-$4.8
Record
55%
44643-37114 (81757)
Invested
$3.44
Value
—
PnL
-$3.44
Record
56%
57842-44686 (102528)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19968-19120 (39088)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asidjasiodja
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $153.62
UpandDownSyndrome
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $150.95
wowitsamazing
Up — $137.03
dvasdkasodk
CTRDown — $0
Polkadot-Frog
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ohioism
Up — $50.18
aaa221
CTRDown — $0