Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Down 42%
$332.54
-$23.99
Smart Money Signal
5 of 12 top traders (42%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 88.1Β’ | $224.97 | $214.94 | -$10.02 | 51% 7272-6915 (14187) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 94.5Β’ | $43.61 | $41.15 | -$2.46 | 61% 94531-59515 (154046) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 67.6Β’ | $34.76 | $51.44 | +$16.68 | 58% 60356-44051 (104407) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 45Β’ | $17.1 | β | -$17.1 | 58% 37673-26899 (64572) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $11.76 | β | -$11.76 | 66% 98940-51224 (150164) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 51Β’ | $10.2 | $20 | +$9.8 | 62% 43705-26697 (70402) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 22Β’ | $3.8 | β | -$3.8 | 64% 22587-12434 (35021) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 64% 57982-32684 (90666) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 10.6Β’ | $1.2 | β | -$1.2 | 51% 19963-19114 (39077) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.2Β’ | $3.05 | β | -$3.05 | 55% 44610-37084 (81694) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 12Β’ | $1.04 | β | -$1.04 | 52% 89954-84437 (174391) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3Β’ | $0.09 | β | -$0.09 | 46% 38100-44972 (83072) |
Invested
$224.97
Value
$214.94
PnL
-$10.02
Record
51%
7272-6915 (14187)
Invested
$43.61
Value
$41.15
PnL
-$2.46
Record
61%
94531-59515 (154046)
Invested
$34.76
Value
$51.44
PnL
+$16.68
Record
58%
60356-44051 (104407)
Invested
$17.1
Value
β
PnL
-$17.1
Record
58%
37673-26899 (64572)
Invested
$11.76
Value
β
PnL
-$11.76
Record
66%
98940-51224 (150164)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$10.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$9.8
Record
62%
43705-26697 (70402)
Invested
$3.8
Value
β
PnL
-$3.8
Record
64%
22587-12434 (35021)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
64%
57982-32684 (90666)
Invested
$1.2
Value
β
PnL
-$1.2
Record
51%
19963-19114 (39077)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.05
Value
β
PnL
-$3.05
Record
55%
44610-37084 (81694)
Invested
$1.04
Value
β
PnL
-$1.04
Record
52%
89954-84437 (174391)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.09
Value
β
PnL
-$0.09
Record
46%
38100-44972 (83072)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $214.94
asidjasiodja
Down β $41.15
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $51.44
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
Bonereaper
CTRUp β $0

G-Penis-Monster
Down β $20
aaa221
CTRUp β $0

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $5
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0

MayorMamdani
CTRUp β $0