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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 64%

Total Value

$147.33

Combined PnL

-$131.15

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 11 top traders (64%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$147.33
Total Shares147
Combined PnL-$19.79
Down7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares707
Combined PnL-$111.36
Up — 36%Down — 64%
PL
ply-pm2
Up

Invested

$105.22

Value

$80

PnL

-$25.22

Record

51%

7193-6839 (14032)

pspspsps5<$100
Up

Invested

$42.24

Value

$42

PnL

-$0.24

Record

46%

38045-44903 (82948)

LI
Little-bigCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$52.05

Value

—

PnL

-$52.05

Record

34%

18664-35664 (54328)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$34.39

Value

—

PnL

-$34.39

Record

58%

37589-26837 (64426)

0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$10.43

Value

—

PnL

-$10.43

Record

48%

23186-25395 (48581)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$23.05

Value

$16.43

PnL

+$5.49

Record

65%

22438-12338 (34776)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$8.72

Value

$8.9

PnL

+$0.18

Record

93%

22987-1751 (24738)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.45

Value

—

PnL

-$4.45

Record

59%

62118-43235 (105353)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.4

Value

—

PnL

-$5.4

Record

57%

70359-53462 (123821)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.85

Value

—

PnL

-$3.85

Record

61%

94436-59427 (153863)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.79

Value

—

PnL

-$0.79

Record

55%

44511-37010 (81521)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xaf66abef...e6c3fb
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793285400

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

Up — $80

-$25.22

pspspsps5

Up — $42

-$0.24
LI

Little-big

CTR

Down — $0

-$52.05
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$34.39
0X

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

CTR

Down — $0

-$10.43
AA

aaa221

Up — $16.43

+$5.49
HO

hoodquant

Up — $8.9

+$0.18
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.45
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Down — $0

-$5.4
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.85
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