Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Up 69%
1 arb excluded
$451.79
-$28.2
Smart Money Signal
9 of 13 top traders (69%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $175.42 | $177.19 | +$1.77 | 93% 22987-1751 (24738) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 32.4¢ | $75.6 | $65.45 | -$10.15 | 51% 7193-6839 (14032) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 29.2¢ | $19.09 | $65.45 | +$46.36 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 32.4¢ | $56.51 | — | -$56.51 | |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 95.9¢ | $52.83 | $55.08 | +$2.25 | 56% 57788-44629 (102417) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 78.4¢ | $43.55 | $42.16 | -$1.39 | 61% 94436-59427 (153863) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 15.6¢ | $23.65 | — | -$23.65 | 57% 70359-53462 (123821) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 69.7¢ | $34.14 | $37.35 | +$3.21 | 65% 22438-12338 (34776) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 62.9¢ | $29.75 | $25.37 | -$4.38 | 55% 17660-14270 (31930) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 68.2¢ | $26.36 | $20.68 | -$5.68 | 54% 10700-9147 (19847) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 18.4¢ | $3.66 | — | -$3.66 | 52% 89866-84321 (174187) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $7.28 | — | -$7.28 | 62% 43672-26664 (70336) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 61.6¢ | $4.63 | $7.51 | +$2.88 | 55% 44511-37010 (81521) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $4.8 | — | -$4.8 | 46% 38045-44903 (82948) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $2.97 | $11 | +$8.03 | 58% 37589-26837 (64426) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $5.5 | $10 | +$4.5 | 51% 19925-19088 (39013) |
Invested
$175.42
Value
$177.19
PnL
+$1.77
Record
93%
22987-1751 (24738)
Invested
$75.6
Value
$65.45
PnL
-$10.15
Record
51%
7193-6839 (14032)
Both legs:
Invested
$52.83
Value
$55.08
PnL
+$2.25
Record
56%
57788-44629 (102417)
Invested
$43.55
Value
$42.16
PnL
-$1.39
Record
61%
94436-59427 (153863)
Invested
$23.65
Value
—
PnL
-$23.65
Record
57%
70359-53462 (123821)
Invested
$34.14
Value
$37.35
PnL
+$3.21
Record
65%
22438-12338 (34776)
Invested
$29.75
Value
$25.37
PnL
-$4.38
Record
55%
17660-14270 (31930)
Invested
$26.36
Value
$20.68
PnL
-$5.68
Record
54%
10700-9147 (19847)
Invested
$3.66
Value
—
PnL
-$3.66
Record
52%
89866-84321 (174187)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$7.28
Value
—
PnL
-$7.28
Record
62%
43672-26664 (70336)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.63
Value
$7.51
PnL
+$2.88
Record
55%
44511-37010 (81521)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
—
PnL
-$4.8
Record
46%
38045-44903 (82948)
Invested
$2.97
Value
$11
PnL
+$8.03
Record
58%
37589-26837 (64426)
Invested
$5.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.5
Record
51%
19925-19088 (39013)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $177.19
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $55.08
asidjasiodja
Up — $42.16
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
aaa221
Up — $37.35
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $25.37
thesidehustle
Up — $20.68
dvasdkasodk
CTRDown — $0
G-Penis-Monster
CTRDown — $0