Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Down 50%
$353.26
$27.41
Smart Money Signal
5 of 11 top traders (45%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98Β’ | $198.94 | $203 | +$4.06 | 93% 22987-1751 (24738) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 50.7Β’ | $50.68 | $100 | +$49.32 | 58% 37589-26837 (64426) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 32.1Β’ | $13.7 | β | -$13.7 | 51% 7193-6839 (14032) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 52Β’ | $19.58 | $20 | +$0.42 | 56% 57788-44629 (102417) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 78Β’ | $16.36 | $15.26 | -$1.1 | 66% 125199-64428 (189627) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 85Β’ | $12.75 | $15 | +$2.25 | 55% 44511-37010 (81521) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 48Β’ | $4.8 | β | -$4.8 | 58% 60303-44021 (104324) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 28.5Β’ | $4.27 | β | -$4.27 | 54% 10700-9147 (19847) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.7Β’ | $3.52 | β | -$3.52 | 61% 94436-59427 (153863) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 23Β’ | $1.25 | β | -$1.25 | 52% 89866-84321 (174187) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19925-19088 (39013) |
Invested
$198.94
Value
$203
PnL
+$4.06
Record
93%
22987-1751 (24738)
Invested
$50.68
Value
$100
PnL
+$49.32
Record
58%
37589-26837 (64426)
Invested
$13.7
Value
β
PnL
-$13.7
Record
51%
7193-6839 (14032)
Invested
$19.58
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.42
Record
56%
57788-44629 (102417)
Invested
$16.36
Value
$15.26
PnL
-$1.1
Record
66%
125199-64428 (189627)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$12.75
Value
$15
PnL
+$2.25
Record
55%
44511-37010 (81521)
Invested
$4.8
Value
β
PnL
-$4.8
Record
58%
60303-44021 (104324)
Invested
$4.27
Value
β
PnL
-$4.27
Record
54%
10700-9147 (19847)
Invested
$3.52
Value
β
PnL
-$3.52
Record
61%
94436-59427 (153863)
Invested
$1.25
Value
β
PnL
-$1.25
Record
52%
89866-84321 (174187)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19925-19088 (39013)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $203
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $100
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down β $20
asdaefef
Down β $15.26

MayorMamdani
Down β $15
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp β $0
thesidehustle
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp β $0