Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Up 73%
1 arb excluded
$344.45
-$47.36
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $141.69 | $141.03 | -$0.66 | 59% 62118-43235 (105353) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $59.62 | — | -$59.62 | 58% 37589-26837 (64426) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 66.2¢ | $68.51 | $76.69 | +$8.18 | 51% 7193-6839 (14032) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 66.2¢ | $50.8 | $76.69 | +$25.89 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 31.4¢ | $17.71 | — | -$17.71 | |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 59.1¢ | $18.47 | $18 | -$0.47 | 54% 10700-9147 (19847) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 87.9¢ | $29.01 | $33 | +$3.99 | 46% 38045-44903 (82948) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 98.6¢ | $26.72 | $27.11 | +$0.39 | 93% 22987-1751 (24738) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 16¢ | $3.2 | — | -$3.2 | 57% 70359-53462 (123821) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $10.9 | $15.35 | +$4.45 | 65% 22438-12338 (34776) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $0.29 | — | -$0.29 | 55% 44511-37010 (81521) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 96.8¢ | $12.72 | $13.13 | +$0.41 | 66% 125199-64428 (189627) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $7.6 | $10.13 | +$2.53 | 51% 19925-19088 (39013) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $4.9 | $10 | +$5.1 | 58% 50902-37035 (87937) |
Invested
$141.69
Value
$141.03
PnL
-$0.66
Record
59%
62118-43235 (105353)
Invested
$59.62
Value
—
PnL
-$59.62
Record
58%
37589-26837 (64426)
Invested
$68.51
Value
$76.69
PnL
+$8.18
Record
51%
7193-6839 (14032)
Both legs:
Invested
$18.47
Value
$18
PnL
-$0.47
Record
54%
10700-9147 (19847)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$29.01
Value
$33
PnL
+$3.99
Record
46%
38045-44903 (82948)
Invested
$26.72
Value
$27.11
PnL
+$0.39
Record
93%
22987-1751 (24738)
Invested
$3.2
Value
—
PnL
-$3.2
Record
57%
70359-53462 (123821)
Invested
$10.9
Value
$15.35
PnL
+$4.45
Record
65%
22438-12338 (34776)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.29
Value
—
PnL
-$0.29
Record
55%
44511-37010 (81521)
Invested
$12.72
Value
$13.13
PnL
+$0.41
Record
66%
125199-64428 (189627)
Invested
$7.6
Value
$10.13
PnL
+$2.53
Record
51%
19925-19088 (39013)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.1
Record
58%
50902-37035 (87937)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up — $141.03
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
thesidehustle
Up — $18
pspspsps5
Up — $33
hoodquant
Up — $27.11
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
aaa221
Up — $15.35
MayorMamdani
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
Up — $13.13